@0xAE7FcEb5828Ad56356283188B505939D057F31c9-1768585935728

#10,58592

0xae7fceb5828ad56356283188b505939d057f31c9

~116d· 53 markets · 1892 tradesVol: $460,2122026-08-02 04:12:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (26/39)18.3/20
13.56x (win $34,630 / loss $2,553)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 8.77515/15
Sortino 100.06710/10
$+0.1240 per $1 invested6.2/10
HHI 1003 (39 markets)7.5/10
17/25 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 6% of peak ($2,062 / $32,077)10/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+14,337
DCA Master
Avg 33.2 entries/market
Whale
$258,651 invested
Consistent
17/25 profitable days
High Roller
$1,300/day
Cool Head
Max DD 6%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14,337
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$460,212
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
53
total markets
Trades
695B / 1197S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~116d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
26W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$14,337
Win Rate
67%
26W / 13L
Profit Factor
13.56x
Avg Win
$1,332
Avg Loss
$-213

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,092 (1.40138382239086% of PnL)

Top Winners

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?$13,019
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$3,542
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$3,530
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$3,354
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3,248
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$2,812
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?$1,837
US forces enter Iran by December 31?$1,061
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$499
Iran leadership change by May 31?$389

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1,020
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-484
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$-455
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$-171
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 14, 2026?$-100
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$-94
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?$-86
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-73
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-50
US strikes Iraq by March 7?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.450
Sortino
3.712
HHI
536
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.179
Kelly %
51.3%
Half-Kelly
25.7%
Top-1 market
17.2%
Top-5 markets
42.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 132s — normal for humanCV 2.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
33.21
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.5%
Mid (20-55c)14%
High (>55c)81.6%

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 3:47:29 PM35 trades$45,5561 min
2/28/2026, 6:53:57 AM18 trades$19,94713 min
5/7/2026, 7:00:04 AM32 trades$19,54416 min
3/31/2026, 1:38:23 AM7 trades$15,4908 min
4/3/2026, 11:27:21 AM36 trades$12,9724 min
4/30/2026, 10:43:26 PM22 trades$12,7103 min
3/10/2026, 12:05:41 PM2 trades$12,4521 min
4/30/2026, 11:19:32 PM24 trades$12,3696 min
7/1/2026, 2:20:08 PM26 trades$11,3490 min
2/22/2026, 7:40:00 PM7 trades$11,2848 min
6/17/2026, 2:31:52 PM22 trades$9,6451 min
7/29/2026, 9:22:12 PM13 trades$8,6352 min
7/23/2026, 3:50:40 PM15 trades$8,5392 min
4/7/2026, 1:57:37 PM4 trades$8,2421 min
4/28/2026, 3:04:40 PM10 trades$6,8763 min
6/18/2026, 7:21:46 PM15 trades$6,6451 min
4/7/2026, 3:36:19 PM82 trades$6,32431 min
6/16/2026, 4:44:59 PM39 trades$5,99414 min
4/23/2026, 9:54:00 AM17 trades$5,4987 min
6/19/2026, 3:49:25 PM9 trades$5,4712 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
03-06
03-25
04-27
05-27
06-22
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 33.21/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.5 / M14 / H81.6