@0xAe8739813B024631B3769E8788464795EE70d629-1776456987493
#2,712,871520xae8739813b024631b3769e8788464795ee70d629
~27d· 118 markets · 748 tradesVol: $42,8632026-08-02 04:11:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (44/108)5.4/20
1.42x (win $3,551 / loss $2,494)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.35015/15
Sortino 5.09210/10
$+0.1206 per $1 invested6/10
HHI 1016 (108 markets)7.4/10
7/22 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 89% of peak ($1,110 / $1,248)0/10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-206
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$42,863
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
118
total markets
Trades
288B / 460S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
44W / 64L events
Realized PnL
$-206
Win Rate
41%
44W / 64L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-64
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,972 (14.40895869691681% of PnL)
Top Winners
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$1,338
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$870
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?$764
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$105
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$50
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$35
Will Cyprus advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$31
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$30
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$29
Will Lithuania advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$25
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-672
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-341
Exact Score: Any Other Score?$-293
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-167
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-108
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?$-106
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-93
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-74
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$-71
Will Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$-70
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.120
Sortino
0.245
HHI
564
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.127
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
47%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
8.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.4m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.0
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 168s — normal for humanCV 1.96 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity9 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
6.48
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)21.2%
Mid (20-55c)18.8%
High (>55c)60.1%
Sessions
#126/21/2026, 11:03:35 AM21 trades$5,5236 min
6/20/2026, 8:02:53 PM2 trades$1,5430 min
6/20/2026, 9:09:10 PM10 trades$1,5133 min
5/15/2026, 10:03:10 AM68 trades$1,14417 min
6/18/2026, 8:03:28 PM7 trades$8501 min
6/15/2026, 9:51:52 PM25 trades$74316 min
6/20/2026, 9:00:01 PM4 trades$5970 min
6/18/2026, 3:14:46 PM9 trades$5354 min
6/12/2026, 9:13:12 AM6 trades$5180 min
6/15/2026, 10:19:54 PM9 trades$4992 min
6/18/2026, 7:05:20 PM21 trades$4533 min
6/21/2026, 7:23:52 PM17 trades$4305 min
6/11/2026, 8:57:36 PM6 trades$4203 min
6/21/2026, 3:11:37 PM9 trades$3910 min
6/15/2026, 4:34:09 PM6 trades$3744 min
6/11/2026, 11:41:10 PM10 trades$3591 min
6/18/2026, 8:52:08 AM4 trades$3412 min
5/14/2026, 11:27:51 AM4 trades$3381 min
6/18/2026, 9:00:52 AM7 trades$3270 min
5/8/2026, 9:09:21 AM6 trades$3144 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-17
05-08
05-15
06-13
06-18
06-22
06-29
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 32 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.48/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.2 / M18.8 / H60.1