@TACmac

#2,909,90922

0xaf44f5099bf1d03bac437b27ab1cdc97292f3829

~125d· 439 markets · 1051 tradesVol: $67,1332026-08-02 05:19:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (188/430)6.9/20
0.90x (win $6,672 / loss $7,453)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8800/15
Sortino -1.0810/10
$-0.0482 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 150 (430 markets)10/10
51/109 profitable days (47%)4.2/10
Max DD 201% of peak ($1,662 / $825)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
81% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,588,394$-513Vol: $25,258
SPORTS#1,777,656$-361Vol: $18,666
🏛️ POLITICS#1,483,889$-62Vol: $13,315
🎭 CULTURE#19,510$111Vol: $5,448
💰 FINANCE#602,229$-26Vol: $2,146
📈 ECONOMICS#639,825$-35Vol: $1,086
💻 TECH#14,165$17Vol: $627
📢 MENTIONS#153,558$-41Vol: $458
🌤️ WEATHER#22,656$10Vol: $96

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-895
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$67,133
Total Redeem
$301
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
439
total markets
Trades
705B / 346S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~125d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$4
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-895
Vol: $67,133

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
188W / 242L events
Realized PnL
$-898
Win Rate
44%
188W / 242L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-33

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,489 (1.6581978168857208% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 7?$550
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?$538
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?$401
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?$317
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 27?$285
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$246
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14?$245
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10AM ET$239
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$166
Will 'Solo Leveling' win Crunchyroll Anime of the Year 2025?$159

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 12PM ET$-407
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 9AM ET$-407
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?$-305
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 6?$-300
US government shutdown by October 1?$-268
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 1AM ET$-260
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 10?$-248
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8AM ET$-240
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11AM ET$-220
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 1PM ET$-220

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.046
Sortino
-0.044
HHI
115
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
14.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 215s — normal for humanCV 2.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.39
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.9%
Mid (20-55c)64.5%
High (>55c)18.6%

Sessions

#12
10/7/2025, 4:11:58 PM2 trades$1,1210 min
9/8/2025, 4:01:54 PM9 trades$1,0324 min
9/17/2025, 3:54:26 PM7 trades$7207 min
9/26/2025, 7:24:48 AM11 trades$63712 min
10/6/2025, 1:42:35 PM1 trades$5510 min
9/25/2025, 8:46:34 AM3 trades$5303 min
7/25/2025, 11:34:27 PM1 trades$5210 min
10/5/2025, 7:50:39 AM3 trades$4972 min
9/25/2025, 9:25:14 AM6 trades$4384 min
9/13/2025, 9:26:10 PM1 trades$4010 min
9/13/2025, 9:16:46 PM8 trades$4010 min
10/15/2025, 3:55:51 PM1 trades$4000 min
9/28/2025, 4:23:37 PM4 trades$3403 min
9/7/2025, 3:41:08 PM1 trades$3050 min
9/12/2025, 9:00:33 PM3 trades$2654 min
9/25/2025, 11:17:34 PM1 trades$2600 min
8/27/2025, 11:01:37 AM1 trades$2560 min
7/11/2025, 1:34:36 AM2 trades$2500 min
7/15/2025, 9:30:41 PM5 trades$2434 min
9/25/2025, 7:40:24 AM1 trades$2400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-19
05-19
08-31
09-18
10-13
04-27
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 220 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
32.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.39/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L16.9 / M64.5 / H18.6