@fed26

#1,56426

0xaf458bee32b8f1d9ba39ee876f20c7e3ce62ec7d

~90d· 34 markets · 2850 tradesVol: $3,650,1082026-08-02 07:58:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (12/21)13.6/20
0.52x (win $22,497 / loss $43,591)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3050/15
Sortino -4.7880/10
$-0.0257 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1358 (21 markets)5.7/10
10/17 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 535% of peak ($25,945 / $4,851)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+124,284
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 75.5 entries/market
Whale
$821,505 invested
High Roller
$4,087/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#55$115,017Vol: $2,819,946
🏛️ POLITICS#33,501$343Vol: $638,687
₿ CRYPTO#5,620$8,925Vol: $191,475

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$124,284
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,650,108
Total Redeem
$10,959
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
34
total markets
Trades
1651B / 1199S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~90d

Periods

#2
Today
$-813
Vol: $0
Week
$6,031
Vol: $0
Month
$-1,313
Vol: $0
All Time
$124,284
Vol: $3,650,108

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
12W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$124,284
Win Rate
57%
12W / 9L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$1,875
Avg Loss
$-4,843

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,416 (0.13208277235558516% of PnL)

Top Winners

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$9,394
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$5,123
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?$1,899
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 27-February 2?$1,738
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1,277
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1,265
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$729
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$621
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 31-April 6?$249
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$170

Top Losers

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-14,198
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-9,161
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-8,923
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-6,857
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-3,915
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$-375
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-81
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-59
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$-21

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.219
Sortino
-0.246
HHI
727
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.3%
Top-5 markets
54.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
45.1m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 4.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active0.2 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
75.48
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)42.2%
Mid (20-55c)25.6%
High (>55c)32.2%

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 4:25:38 PM74 trades$143,0700 min
4/21/2026, 2:33:22 AM4 trades$50,0003 min
5/4/2026, 3:23:40 PM155 trades$43,25219 min
2/5/2026, 4:51:59 AM1 trades$42,1830 min
2/9/2026, 9:51:05 PM8 trades$33,4942 min
1/12/2026, 7:08:01 PM4 trades$32,6200 min
2/13/2026, 9:20:19 PM1 trades$31,3120 min
6/18/2026, 4:50:43 AM34 trades$27,5457 min
1/15/2026, 8:24:48 PM29 trades$26,2278 min
2/5/2026, 5:25:59 PM1 trades$24,3420 min
2/5/2026, 6:45:19 PM1 trades$24,1800 min
2/1/2026, 9:51:28 PM22 trades$23,03919 min
2/8/2026, 3:09:27 PM6 trades$20,9849 min
1/12/2026, 9:13:41 PM15 trades$19,80911 min
4/24/2026, 4:43:52 AM56 trades$18,7835 min
2/20/2026, 4:27:30 AM7 trades$16,4561 min
4/23/2026, 5:43:58 PM64 trades$15,8474 min
4/12/2026, 3:39:11 PM35 trades$15,7340 min
1/15/2026, 7:22:32 PM45 trades$15,18540 min
4/28/2026, 2:14:52 PM12 trades$13,3195 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
02-02
02-10
02-19
03-06
03-30
04-29
05-06
07-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 106 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 75.48/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.2 / M25.6 / H32.2