@kappa-klaus

#2,748,4854

0xaf5d9ce4b33d0c56e5c2bceb79ba05ab49753d10

~17d· 14 markets · 61 tradesVol: $19,5182026-08-02 05:08:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (3/11)0/20
0.68x (win $969 / loss $1,419)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2830/15
Sortino -4.6070/10
$-0.1128 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1791 (11 markets)3.5/10
3/9 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($611 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
55% entries < $0.55

Categories

2
CRYPTO#46,420$423Vol: $14,216
🎭 CULTURE#798,746$-277Vol: $4,623

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-252
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,518
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
22B / 39S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-252
Vol: $19,518

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
3W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-252
Win Rate
27%
3W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$323
Avg Loss
$-177

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $969 (3.850560101692222% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $5M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$590
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?$212
Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?$168

Top Losers

LoL: Movistar KOI vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$-301
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?$-277
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?$-223
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$-200
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?$-200
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?$-100
Will FUT qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$-97
Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-22

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.162
Sortino
-0.360
HHI
292
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.221
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.8%
Top-5 markets
32.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 0.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.18
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18.2%
Mid (20-55c)36.4%
High (>55c)45.5%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 9:40:49 PM7 trades$1,0410 min
2/5/2026, 9:31:23 PM1 trades$7890 min
2/9/2026, 12:34:37 PM3 trades$6793 min
6/9/2026, 12:01:04 PM3 trades$5790 min
1/23/2026, 10:42:26 PM1 trades$5240 min
2/6/2026, 12:38:17 AM2 trades$4000 min
6/11/2026, 8:06:25 PM4 trades$3980 min
6/26/2026, 2:30:26 PM24 trades$3690 min
1/22/2026, 8:28:36 PM1 trades$3120 min
1/26/2026, 3:13:13 PM1 trades$3010 min
12/14/2025, 10:13:37 PM1 trades$2770 min
1/24/2026, 8:51:48 PM1 trades$2230 min
6/11/2026, 4:19:57 PM3 trades$2050 min
2/7/2026, 11:05:39 PM2 trades$2010 min
2/18/2026, 10:07:08 PM1 trades$2000 min
1/28/2026, 5:27:42 PM1 trades$2000 min
6/7/2026, 11:57:54 AM3 trades$1820 min
6/11/2026, 6:36:16 PM1 trades$970 min
2/3/2026, 11:38:18 PM1 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-14
01-23
01-24
01-26
02-03
02-05
02-06
02-07
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.18/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L18.2 / M36.4 / H45.5