@diehardpepe
#2,949,912110xaf85c93676290f09c0628f781a2eced00f1986e1
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
26% (52/202)0/20
0.89x (win $3,683 / loss $4,140)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8120/15
Sortino -1.5820/10
$-0.0656 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 178 (202 markets)10/10
25/87 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 24047% of peak ($923 / $4)0/10
Badges
2Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
7₿ CRYPTO#1,599,362$-656Vol: $51,716
🏛️ POLITICS#1,597,495$-522Vol: $37,311
⚽ SPORTS#1,655,732$-85Vol: $24,687
📈 ECONOMICS#21,044$37Vol: $1,673
🎭 CULTURE#57,753$15Vol: $439
📢 MENTIONS#127,876$-10Vol: $233
💰 FINANCE#525,389$-3Vol: $130
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,261
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$116,444
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
205
total markets
Trades
556B / 572S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d
Periods
#2Today
$-17
Vol: $0
Week
$-21
Vol: $0
Month
$-37
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,261
Vol: $116,444
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
26%
52W / 150L events
Realized PnL
$-1,252
Win Rate
26%
52W / 150L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$71
Avg Loss
$-28
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,528 (1.2203129867951206% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8AM ET$883
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$406
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET$238
Bitcoin Up or Down on December 8?$145
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$126
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$109
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$104
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$101
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$93
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$93
Top Losers
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$-104
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET$-100
Iran leadership change by April 30?$-100
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4AM ET$-100
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-99
Nothing Ever Happens: Khamenei$-92
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-88
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?$-79
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?$-78
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.042
Sortino
-0.094
HHI
92
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.070
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
12.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 234s — normal for humanCV 1.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 12:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.87
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)51.4%
Mid (20-55c)30.4%
High (>55c)18.2%
Sessions
#126/15/2026, 12:30:04 PM17 trades$1,1617 min
6/19/2026, 12:43:37 PM47 trades$1,04615 min
5/28/2026, 8:56:42 PM8 trades$9470 min
6/9/2026, 2:39:18 PM10 trades$7844 min
6/21/2026, 8:42:26 PM3 trades$5230 min
6/18/2026, 12:51:38 PM40 trades$4583 min
6/4/2026, 3:46:45 PM24 trades$37512 min
4/8/2026, 6:22:11 PM14 trades$3423 min
6/8/2025, 9:47:19 AM1 trades$3250 min
6/4/2025, 5:13:08 AM3 trades$3005 min
10/1/2025, 5:43:33 PM9 trades$2987 min
6/25/2026, 10:04:01 PM10 trades$2568 min
6/6/2026, 1:51:12 PM20 trades$2443 min
3/6/2026, 7:14:21 AM5 trades$2411 min
6/21/2026, 1:36:29 PM15 trades$2344 min
5/14/2026, 2:52:45 PM2 trades$2330 min
10/1/2025, 6:34:07 PM24 trades$2253 min
2/28/2026, 1:34:31 PM1 trades$2000 min
5/14/2026, 8:07:12 PM6 trades$2000 min
6/21/2026, 8:21:11 PM2 trades$2000 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-16
06-15
10-07
01-06
03-11
06-15
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 366 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.87/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.4 / M30.4 / H18.2