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56

0xafce15a94286fbb85a8e2062bcb10c6683e2c2f6

~173d· 493 markets · 3563 trades2026-08-02 04:12:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (219/485)7.6/20
1.22x (win $60,346 / loss $49,502)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.87315/15
Sortino 1.77810/10
$+0.0327 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 272 (485 markets)10/10
63/138 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 55% of peak ($9,435 / $17,131)3/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 7.1 entries/market
Whale
$331,826 invested
High Roller
$1,177/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,588
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$331,826
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
493
total markets
Trades
2023B / 1540S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~173d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
219W / 266L events
Realized PnL
$-8,588
Win Rate
45%
219W / 266L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$276
Avg Loss
$-201

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,009 (3.0286022697367656% of PnL)

Top Winners

Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$13,463
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$10,305
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5$2,241
Pistons vs. Magic$2,120
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$2,109
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1,399
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$1,240
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$1,129
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-01-29?$930
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-09?$860

Top Losers

Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-7,782
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,284
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-2,520
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-1,700
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$-1,500
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-1,428
AFC Ajax vs. NEC: O/U 2.5$-1,035
Spread: Telstar 1963 (-2.5)$-960
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-28?$-910
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-874

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.046
Sortino
0.075
HHI
144
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
12.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 200s — normal for humanCV 2.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.7 markets/day — normal57% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.7%
Mid (20-55c)16.7%
High (>55c)57.7%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 5:42:11 PM10 trades$52,8405 min
6/2/2026, 10:26:00 AM2 trades$50,0000 min
4/3/2026, 4:05:51 PM8 trades$8,1741 min
1/31/2026, 8:27:22 PM2 trades$7,2641 min
2/17/2026, 7:06:19 PM6 trades$7,1217 min
6/19/2026, 8:34:22 PM10 trades$6,5022 min
3/20/2026, 3:37:41 PM16 trades$6,17519 min
4/8/2026, 3:38:01 PM10 trades$6,0433 min
2/20/2026, 4:41:48 PM1 trades$5,8920 min
4/6/2026, 1:50:47 PM5 trades$5,8082 min
6/24/2026, 7:17:16 AM15 trades$5,7702 min
4/7/2026, 2:10:45 PM8 trades$5,4063 min
7/9/2026, 9:38:25 PM14 trades$5,3385 min
3/19/2026, 7:58:55 PM7 trades$5,28510 min
4/10/2026, 1:35:23 PM18 trades$5,2245 min
4/12/2026, 8:31:37 AM43 trades$5,22017 min
7/29/2026, 5:39:56 PM4 trades$5,1201 min
2/17/2026, 9:34:05 AM1 trades$4,9700 min
4/6/2026, 6:29:57 AM76 trades$4,91135 min
7/27/2026, 4:07:24 AM7 trades$4,5000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
01-30
02-24
03-26
04-23
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 52 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.7 / M16.7 / H57.7