@immortalpony
#2,113,311100xb07f674e9ffe5d4d3c7e4cb23d03d0e8d8f5faad
~30d· 57 markets · 131 tradesVol: $36,7932026-08-02 08:56:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (22/53)5.8/20
0.85x (win $243 / loss $287)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2820/15
Sortino -1.9290/10
$-0.0447 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 8419 (53 markets)0/10
11/25 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 139% of peak ($159 / $114)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#91,957$48Vol: $31,645
💰 FINANCE#581,154$-13Vol: $2,725
🎭 CULTURE#736,695$-25Vol: $1,091
⚽ SPORTS#1,528,247$-31Vol: $1,083
📈 ECONOMICS#475,738$-1Vol: $250
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-22
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,793
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
57
total markets
Trades
76B / 55S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-22
Vol: $36,793
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
22W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$-63
Win Rate
42%
22W / 31L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-10
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $125 (1.9958419958419957% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?$71
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?$32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$22
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$13
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?$12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$12
Will Trump and Putin not meet?$11
Will Russia enter Lyman by November 30?$9
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?$8
Top Losers
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?$-57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-50
Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in June?$-40
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-40
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?$-17
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?$-16
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?$-10
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$-10
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?$-10
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?$-8
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.066
Sortino
-0.099
HHI
383
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
32.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
45
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 154s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern14/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)32.9%
Mid (20-55c)17.1%
High (>55c)50%
Sessions
#125/9/2026, 7:12:45 PM7 trades$25,0732 min
6/4/2026, 5:54:49 PM4 trades$5023 min
7/2/2026, 7:05:58 PM2 trades$2500 min
4/27/2026, 6:44:50 PM16 trades$2099 min
4/8/2026, 7:18:25 PM8 trades$1274 min
12/18/2025, 7:46:27 PM3 trades$1183 min
4/27/2026, 6:25:42 PM5 trades$971 min
1/31/2026, 6:41:38 PM4 trades$936 min
6/2/2026, 6:05:00 PM4 trades$900 min
3/20/2026, 10:59:43 AM5 trades$9011 min
12/12/2025, 5:15:08 PM2 trades$782 min
3/20/2026, 10:45:59 AM5 trades$734 min
12/9/2025, 8:31:12 PM1 trades$510 min
11/21/2025, 7:59:53 PM3 trades$516 min
6/2/2026, 2:43:43 PM6 trades$491 min
2/17/2026, 7:51:39 PM2 trades$473 min
11/21/2025, 8:12:15 PM1 trades$450 min
7/2/2026, 6:13:34 PM2 trades$380 min
12/1/2025, 6:20:18 AM1 trades$340 min
7/1/2026, 9:50:16 AM6 trades$261 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-21
12-05
12-18
02-04
04-13
06-02
07-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 70 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L32.9 / M17.1 / H50