@EffyBig
#13,373120xb0ccfba29aaf3c20ce28cf97349c951ba589f09b
~63d· 102 markets · 9069 tradesVol: $707,5142026-08-02 05:20:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
29% (30/102)0/20
0.75x (win $25,477 / loss $34,050)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6340/15
Sortino -2.1010/10
$-0.0465 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 294 (102 markets)10/10
21/56 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 225% of peak ($16,777 / $7,448)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+11,049
Whale
$184,443 invested
High Roller
$1,487/day
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
2🎭 CULTURE#744$11,160Vol: $706,075
⚽ SPORTS#1,689,276$-111Vol: $1,439
Overview
#1Net PnL
$11,049
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$707,514
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
102
total markets
Trades
2637B / 6432S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~63d
Periods
#2Week
$1,610
Vol: $0
Month
$-58
Vol: $2,445
All Time
$11,049
Vol: $707,514
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
29%
30W / 72L events
Realized PnL
$11,049
Win Rate
29%
30W / 72L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$849
Avg Loss
$-516
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,919 (0.8977462784905442% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$3,935
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$3,285
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$2,699
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$2,087
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$1,963
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$1,872
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?$1,539
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1,237
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$909
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in July 2026?$649
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?$-4,539
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$-4,509
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-4,493
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-4,361
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-3,517
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$-2,576
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-1,441
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?$-1,373
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$-818
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$-709
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.085
Sortino
-0.099
HHI
308
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
24.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
73.1
Very active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
23.8m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
48.8
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 63s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock73 trades/day — mass trading0.8 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
88.91
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)25.4%
Mid (20-55c)18.3%
High (>55c)56.4%
Sessions
#126/9/2026, 3:32:15 PM25 trades$7,48510 min
7/15/2026, 1:41:44 PM44 trades$7,43111 min
5/13/2026, 4:27:10 AM59 trades$7,40811 min
6/6/2026, 2:16:04 PM39 trades$6,3157 min
7/17/2026, 3:53:37 PM7 trades$5,9923 min
5/22/2026, 1:40:42 PM10 trades$5,4766 min
5/9/2026, 7:16:21 AM173 trades$5,42224 min
5/13/2026, 3:05:18 PM37 trades$5,0363 min
6/6/2026, 5:58:09 AM72 trades$4,99023 min
5/13/2026, 9:44:18 PM34 trades$4,6412 min
6/10/2026, 7:27:36 AM114 trades$4,57919 min
5/8/2026, 6:53:13 AM25 trades$4,53312 min
6/10/2026, 6:57:46 AM101 trades$4,47315 min
6/5/2026, 7:13:57 AM96 trades$4,46811 min
6/13/2026, 7:55:49 AM82 trades$4,37214 min
5/15/2026, 2:20:25 PM35 trades$4,1192 min
5/8/2026, 5:45:51 AM103 trades$4,09424 min
6/16/2026, 2:26:43 PM13 trades$3,7700 min
5/15/2026, 5:16:47 AM101 trades$3,29013 min
6/8/2026, 5:45:27 AM45 trades$3,27811 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-31
04-29
05-10
06-05
06-17
07-09
07-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 73 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 88.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.4 / M18.3 / H56.4