FitzP

@FitzP

#209,53567

0xb1df6a69eaa5aaf196257856dc240f25b45f309d

~52d· 64 markets · 1267 tradesVol: $75,3772026-08-02 05:19:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (33/55)15/20
1.33x (win $6,386 / loss $4,817)6.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.72515/15
Sortino 2.30510/10
$+0.0450 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 576 (55 markets)9.6/10
19/30 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 160% of peak ($2,518 / $1,569)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+130
DCA Master
Avg 16.9 entries/market
Consistent
19/30 profitable days
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#17,079$1,086Vol: $32,043
🌤️ WEATHER#289,340$-174Vol: $16,883
SPORTS#1,845,489$-1,612Vol: $13,458
📢 MENTIONS#1,538$794Vol: $10,442
📈 ECONOMICS#574,050$-5Vol: $1,828
🎭 CULTURE#32,711$44Vol: $718

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$130
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$75,377
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
64
total markets
Trades
338B / 929S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~52d

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$130
Vol: $75,377

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
33W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$130
Win Rate
60%
33W / 22L
Profit Factor
1.33x
Avg Win
$194
Avg Loss
$-241

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,875 (22.103620570374357% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$1,589
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$752
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?$534
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$497
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$475
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$370
Kash Patel out by June 30?$214
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$188
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score 2+ Penalties?$180
Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?$148

Top Losers

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$-2,105
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-847
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-813
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?$-395
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-238
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-77
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-71
Will 200-224 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?$-61
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?$-44
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.089
Sortino
0.080
HHI
304
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.061
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.7%
Top-5 markets
31.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.0

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 640s — normal for humanCV 1.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity17 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
16.91
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)15.1%
High (>55c)83.4%

Sessions

#12
7/1/2026, 1:56:56 PM3 trades$4,0650 min
7/11/2026, 6:19:29 PM28 trades$3,2278 min
6/19/2026, 4:27:08 PM40 trades$1,8049 min
7/7/2026, 7:56:13 PM28 trades$1,6832 min
6/25/2026, 10:52:16 AM14 trades$1,3566 min
7/14/2026, 11:39:37 PM41 trades$1,3160 min
6/26/2026, 10:28:13 PM20 trades$1,2814 min
7/6/2026, 9:36:47 PM7 trades$1,2721 min
6/19/2026, 9:27:23 PM21 trades$1,1872 min
6/4/2026, 12:25:46 PM4 trades$1,1390 min
5/24/2026, 8:32:18 PM11 trades$1,1131 min
6/19/2026, 8:55:34 PM5 trades$1,0840 min
7/6/2026, 12:44:23 AM12 trades$1,0390 min
7/7/2026, 5:40:49 PM10 trades$9292 min
7/6/2026, 6:44:34 PM11 trades$8611 min
6/21/2026, 6:26:58 PM11 trades$8571 min
7/7/2026, 6:10:28 PM3 trades$7910 min
6/13/2026, 7:08:57 PM11 trades$7873 min
7/6/2026, 12:01:08 AM16 trades$7671 min
7/1/2026, 7:17:55 PM15 trades$7240 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-23
06-01
06-11
06-21
07-01
07-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 16.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.5 / M15.1 / H83.4