@BaseballBill
#1,280560xb272505077cc2c6bde5acca133ea6364152e5030
~51d· 323 markets · 12007 tradesVol: $12,623,1012026-08-02 08:56:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (135/322)6/20
1.21x (win $1,018,127 / loss $843,159)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.97715/15
Sortino 5.34610/10
$+0.1008 per $1 invested5/10
HHI 69 (322 markets)10/10
21/46 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($120,646 / $186,568)1.1/10
Badges
8Profitable
PnL $+156,790
Lottery Player
52% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
3% sells
Whale
$1,735,428 invested
High Roller
$33,374/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#583$152,714Vol: $12,541,372
Overview
#1Net PnL
$156,790
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,623,101
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
323
total markets
Trades
11603B / 404S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d
Periods
#2Today
$22,008
Vol: $84,835
Week
$-8,463
Vol: $84,835
Month
$21,823
Vol: $337,618
All Time
$156,790
Vol: $12,623,101
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
135W / 187L events
Realized PnL
$156,790
Win Rate
42%
135W / 187L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$7,542
Avg Loss
$-4,509
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $326,505 (2.082429711376934% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$174,850
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$132,349
France vs. England: O/U 6.5$19,306
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$19,050
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5$15,000
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$15,000
Spread: Senegal (-3.5)$13,058
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$12,628
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5$12,450
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals$11,550
Top Losers
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-24,310
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$-22,000
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-16,888
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$-15,250
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5$-15,125
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals$-15,000
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$-14,750
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$-11,700
Senegal vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5$-11,413
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-11,311
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.102
Sortino
0.307
HHI
54
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.101
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
7.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
230.9
Very active
Markets / Day
6.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.6m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.3
Bot Detection
#680
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastCV 4.74 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock231 trades/day — automation6.2 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
37.14
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)51.7%
Mid (20-55c)29.1%
High (>55c)19.2%
Sessions
#127/1/2026, 9:35:31 PM26 trades$67,5738 min
6/18/2026, 9:04:32 PM14 trades$32,8280 min
6/27/2026, 8:49:23 PM62 trades$29,62510 min
6/26/2026, 4:53:40 PM21 trades$25,85711 min
7/6/2026, 1:38:23 AM38 trades$25,3911 min
6/28/2026, 12:39:01 AM35 trades$21,3507 min
6/18/2026, 3:01:19 AM68 trades$20,4005 min
6/19/2026, 11:51:29 PM58 trades$19,94129 min
6/12/2026, 6:46:36 PM9 trades$19,7480 min
6/13/2026, 1:47:40 AM48 trades$18,6157 min
6/24/2026, 6:19:04 PM65 trades$17,89251 min
6/26/2026, 5:32:20 PM51 trades$15,89018 min
6/16/2026, 12:56:37 AM4 trades$15,5500 min
6/16/2026, 10:25:13 PM11 trades$15,53811 min
6/15/2026, 10:19:54 PM14 trades$15,1685 min
6/27/2026, 5:32:31 AM236 trades$15,00039 min
6/19/2026, 10:25:44 PM2 trades$14,8751 min
6/14/2026, 7:56:43 PM61 trades$14,8003 min
7/20/2026, 10:07:06 PM8 trades$14,47512 min
6/17/2026, 10:19:53 PM29 trades$14,25040 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-19
06-26
07-03
07-11
07-22
07-30
08-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.14/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51.7 / M29.1 / H19.2