@S.T.F.

#3,069,81740

0xb3b50ef66acf4beefafa754a4e4b8b5cd5b6bef4

~157d· 799 markets · 8460 tradesVol: $5,037,7502026-08-02 05:09:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (712/786)20/20
0.55x (win $90,347 / loss $164,703)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5400/15
Sortino -1.5920/10
$-0.0213 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 106 (786 markets)10/10
89/105 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 1137% of peak ($108,938 / $9,583)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 91%
DCA Master
Avg 9.9 entries/market
Whale
$3,498,775 invested
Consistent
89/105 profitable days
High Roller
$13,055/day
Win Streak
39 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#298,158$-2,387Vol: $2,425,175
📈 ECONOMICS#682,191$-28,806Vol: $951,368
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,191$-80,908Vol: $482,116
₿ CRYPTO#4,309$11,280Vol: $409,006
💰 FINANCE#558$9,878Vol: $377,591
⚽ SPORTS#1,873,251$-6,859Vol: $340,004
🎭 CULTURE#9,259$388Vol: $25,348

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-97,202
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,037,750
Total Redeem
$2
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
799
total markets
Trades
7063B / 1397S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~157d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-35
Vol: $0
Month
$-36
Vol: $0
All Time
$-97,202
Vol: $5,037,750

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
91%
712W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$-97,202
Win Rate
91%
712W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$127
Avg Loss
$-2,496

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $36,655 (0.3770966560496449% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$16,875
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$12,012
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?$7,767
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$7,250
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$4,870
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$3,771
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$3,639
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$2,059
Will Scotland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,718
Maduro out in 2025?$1,310

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-82,288
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-23,784
Will the highest temperature in London be between 52-53°F on December 3?$-9,043
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-9,031
Will Türkiye finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$-8,600
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$-6,300
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$-4,100
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on December 16?$-4,050
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on February 19?$-2,962
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5$-1,840

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.080
Sortino
-0.035
HHI
78
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.022
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
14.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.1m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 142s — normal for humanCV 3.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock32 trades/day — high frequency3.0 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.86
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.2%
Mid (20-55c)10.4%
High (>55c)79.4%

Sessions

#12
2/11/2026, 7:10:37 AM5 trades$77,2161 min
12/12/2025, 7:09:15 PM32 trades$70,39639 min
4/7/2026, 12:31:19 PM15 trades$64,0327 min
2/15/2026, 2:56:09 AM23 trades$60,91244 min
12/19/2025, 4:33:27 AM21 trades$56,79020 min
5/22/2026, 1:50:53 PM6 trades$33,7299 min
5/22/2026, 5:08:09 AM1 trades$33,2920 min
2/14/2026, 9:20:37 AM68 trades$32,28926 min
2/9/2026, 6:54:53 AM18 trades$29,06917 min
2/8/2026, 5:53:35 AM1 trades$28,9470 min
2/10/2026, 3:58:23 PM33 trades$28,74128 min
2/17/2026, 3:24:53 AM13 trades$27,96116 min
12/30/2025, 5:25:59 PM6 trades$27,0228 min
5/17/2026, 10:52:14 AM3 trades$26,3672 min
1/12/2026, 5:58:50 AM9 trades$25,85314 min
10/25/2025, 11:42:59 PM5 trades$25,3720 min
2/1/2026, 10:44:28 AM1 trades$24,9750 min
12/15/2025, 7:03:25 PM10 trades$23,9918 min
10/29/2025, 2:17:53 PM1 trades$23,6880 min
12/14/2025, 7:55:25 AM6 trades$22,10714 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
12-04
12-22
01-11
02-02
02-19
06-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 144 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
34% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.2 / M10.4 / H79.4