@miaoxiaojie

#2,882,8607

0xb3c8a39ff43cb21b6a18f2e9a5fa30f3a8032e5a

~19d· 32 markets · 257 tradesVol: $115,1262026-08-02 05:17:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (4/14)0/20
0.03x (win $60 / loss $2,010)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -12.6780/15
Sortino -10.5660/10
$-0.1657 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1487 (14 markets)5.1/10
4/11 profitable days (36%)1.6/10
Max DD 56948% of peak ($1,953 / $3)0/10

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,497,965$-76Vol: $49,700
SPORTS#1,546,489$-36Vol: $45,835
📈 ECONOMICS#12,522$99Vol: $10,395
💰 FINANCE#588,828$-17Vol: $3,487
CRYPTO#1,592,176$-555Vol: $2,879
💻 TECH#247,752$-97Vol: $2,430
🎭 CULTURE#201,099$0Vol: $400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-680
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$115,126
Total Redeem
$60
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
177B / 80S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-110
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$-680
Vol: $115,126

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
4W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-680
Win Rate
29%
4W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-201

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $60 (0.08860145513338723% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$38
Iran leadership change by April 30?$19
Will Monad perform an airdrop by June 30?$3
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$0

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-824
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-520
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$-304
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$-253
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-22
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?$-22
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-17
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-9
Will Zellnor Myrie win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.633
Sortino
-0.574
HHI
177
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.495
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.3%
Top-5 markets
27%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.9m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 87s — normal for humanCV 2.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.93
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.5%
Mid (20-55c)19.2%
High (>55c)72.3%

Sessions

#12
5/29/2026, 3:47:28 PM12 trades$1,7620 min
7/1/2026, 6:34:49 AM16 trades$1,6832 min
5/29/2026, 9:03:08 AM2 trades$1,2220 min
12/31/2025, 6:16:49 PM3 trades$9621 min
6/10/2026, 10:37:19 AM12 trades$7032 min
6/19/2026, 8:23:49 AM6 trades$6740 min
6/19/2026, 12:56:44 PM9 trades$5798 min
6/19/2026, 8:28:58 AM6 trades$5676 min
10/30/2025, 3:21:13 PM1 trades$5310 min
6/19/2026, 12:14:58 PM2 trades$5190 min
10/23/2025, 4:23:49 PM3 trades$5051 min
6/19/2026, 10:48:25 AM2 trades$4910 min
7/30/2026, 11:57:09 AM8 trades$4015 min
6/19/2026, 10:35:44 AM5 trades$3746 min
6/19/2026, 9:46:47 AM5 trades$3310 min
6/20/2026, 6:35:11 PM1 trades$2950 min
6/19/2026, 12:27:35 PM2 trades$2811 min
7/11/2026, 12:55:38 PM3 trades$2760 min
7/30/2026, 4:41:11 AM10 trades$2741 min
6/19/2026, 11:00:50 AM4 trades$2570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
10-24
10-30
02-28
03-26
04-03
04-10
05-29
06-19
06-20
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 261 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.5 / M19.2 / H72.3