@justinztj

#1,625,24924

0xb3f59a0c68b6de4f0c3c74594d263d734605d9ae

~33d· 85 markets · 415 tradesVol: $2,1142026-08-02 05:29:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (31/57)12.2/20
0.62x (win $47 / loss $76)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7490/15
Sortino -4.0160/10
$-0.0767 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1128 (57 markets)6.9/10
9/18 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 310% of peak ($43 / $14)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
50% entries < $0.55

Categories

9
SPORTS#302,464$8Vol: $820
📈 ECONOMICS#538,402$-3Vol: $448
🏛️ POLITICS#1,169,877$-6Vol: $263
🎭 CULTURE#575,542$-2Vol: $115
💰 FINANCE#525,191$-3Vol: $75
🌤️ WEATHER#224,215$-4Vol: $55
CRYPTO#831,888$-1Vol: $44
💻 TECH#175,888$-0Vol: $30
📢 MENTIONS#99,742$-2Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,114
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
85
total markets
Trades
201B / 214S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $39
Week
$-4
Vol: $39
Month
$-6
Vol: $88
All Time
$-5
Vol: $2,114

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
31W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$-5
Win Rate
54%
31W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23 (4.462282398452611% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$11
Knicks vs. Spurs$8
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$4
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$3
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$2
Spurs vs. Knicks$2
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?$2
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$2
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$1
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1

Top Losers

Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$-27
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$-16
Spurs vs. Knicks$-4
Will Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.6%?$-3
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$-2
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-2
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?$-2
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-2
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-2
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.191
Sortino
-0.171
HHI
63
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.257
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
14.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
19s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 19s — normal for humanCV 0.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity4 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal48% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.93
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.4%
Mid (20-55c)35.8%
High (>55c)49.8%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 4:00:05 PM94 trades$31110 min
7/12/2026, 2:55:50 AM55 trades$686 min
7/22/2026, 12:19:36 PM12 trades$332 min
7/30/2026, 12:00:09 AM9 trades$311 min
8/2/2026, 2:36:38 AM5 trades$270 min
7/25/2026, 9:20:24 AM3 trades$260 min
7/11/2026, 12:16:14 PM5 trades$210 min
7/23/2026, 9:33:28 AM22 trades$203 min
7/21/2026, 7:17:15 AM9 trades$201 min
6/9/2026, 3:37:48 AM21 trades$172 min
7/12/2026, 3:24:37 AM14 trades$161 min
7/29/2026, 6:56:44 PM4 trades$151 min
7/28/2026, 2:23:16 PM3 trades$150 min
6/20/2026, 1:55:26 PM18 trades$152 min
7/26/2026, 1:42:24 PM2 trades$140 min
7/30/2026, 4:12:21 AM4 trades$130 min
7/30/2026, 4:01:17 AM2 trades$130 min
7/31/2026, 8:10:23 AM4 trades$131 min
8/1/2026, 6:17:47 AM4 trades$121 min
7/26/2026, 12:11:22 PM4 trades$101 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-19
06-09
06-15
06-23
07-03
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14.4 / M35.8 / H49.8