0xB4119278cE385787c189b9A597F25d88fb978a7C-1779337328329

@0xB4119278cE385787c189b9A597F25d88fb978a7C-1779337328329

#2,935,47110

0xb4119278ce385787c189b9a597f25d88fb978a7c

~51d· 447 markets · 2823 tradesVol: $304,9982026-08-02 07:06:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (66/409)0/20
0.77x (win $1,609 / loss $2,086)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5340/15
Sortino -3.9000/10
$-0.0973 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 235 (409 markets)10/10
8/50 profitable days (16%)0/10
Max DD 560% of peak ($790 / $141)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
44% entries < $0.20

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#786,910$-130Vol: $171,707
₿ CRYPTO#1,599,593$-661Vol: $77,844
🏛️ POLITICS#1,447,078$-41Vol: $18,134
💰 FINANCE#633,701$-112Vol: $14,117
🌤️ WEATHER#261,872$-21Vol: $10,033
📈 ECONOMICS#613,722$-14Vol: $7,526
⚽ SPORTS#1,686,193$-107Vol: $3,888
📢 MENTIONS#125,751$-9Vol: $1,177
💻 TECH#218,971$-6Vol: $571

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,102
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$304,998
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
447
total markets
Trades
864B / 1959S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~51d

Periods

#2
Today
$-26
Vol: $463
Week
$-96
Vol: $463
Month
$-60
Vol: $5,737
All Time
$-1,102
Vol: $304,998

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
66W / 343L events
Realized PnL
$-1,102
Win Rate
16%
66W / 343L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $581 (0.5276726649062151% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$302
Solana Up or Down - July 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$145
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$135
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$94
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$90
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?$80
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?$58
XRP Up or Down - July 18, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$41
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?$38

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$-115
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22?$-109
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21?$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$-57
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$-32
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$-30
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?$-28
Ethereum Up or Down - July 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.131
Sortino
-0.232
HHI
162
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.103
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.6%
Top-5 markets
22.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
52.3
Very active
Markets / Day
8.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.31
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 145s — normal for humanCV 1.31 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity52 trades/day — mass trading8.3 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.43
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)44.2%
Mid (20-55c)17.5%
High (>55c)38.3%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 7:49:40 PM10 trades$6,6582 min
6/18/2026, 5:10:02 PM21 trades$5,11210 min
7/2/2026, 4:20:47 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
6/29/2026, 7:05:02 PM17 trades$4,8780 min
6/14/2026, 3:54:01 PM53 trades$4,23016 min
7/6/2026, 1:35:38 PM6 trades$3,0000 min
6/12/2026, 2:41:52 PM32 trades$2,6165 min
6/21/2026, 5:57:44 PM22 trades$2,37911 min
6/13/2026, 7:02:27 PM142 trades$1,74910 min
6/16/2026, 7:44:26 PM43 trades$1,68011 min
6/24/2026, 6:49:01 PM3 trades$1,6430 min
7/1/2026, 5:21:46 PM16 trades$1,5728 min
6/11/2026, 1:06:00 PM132 trades$1,56841 min
6/16/2026, 12:12:57 PM11 trades$1,5156 min
6/20/2026, 5:54:13 PM13 trades$1,2498 min
6/15/2026, 5:08:12 PM4 trades$1,1254 min
6/27/2026, 1:52:41 PM17 trades$1,0790 min
6/21/2026, 6:29:11 PM6 trades$1,0330 min
6/15/2026, 6:21:52 AM4 trades$1,0020 min
6/15/2026, 5:01:22 PM4 trades$1,0022 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
06-18
06-27
07-05
07-13
07-21
08-01
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 42 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
69.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.43/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L44.2 / M17.5 / H38.3