@0xb557dc93416e066a090e504fe9691bffad0def84
290xb557dc93416e066a090e504fe9691bffad0def84
~262d· 612 markets · 2172 trades2026-08-02 08:03:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (247/576)6.4/20
1.03x (win $7,952 / loss $7,693)2.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.1462.7/15
Sortino 0.1821.8/10
$+0.0105 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 504 (576 markets)10/10
103/219 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 92% of peak ($1,722 / $1,866)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+817
Contrarian
64% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$817
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,761
Total Redeem
$281
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
612
total markets
Trades
1288B / 884S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~262d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
247W / 329L events
Realized PnL
$817
Win Rate
43%
247W / 329L
Profit Factor
1.03x
Avg Win
$32
Avg Loss
$-25
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,846 (2.2599211692413155% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?$947
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$503
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$397
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$274
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$238
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?$236
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$229
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?$158
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$153
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$147
Top Losers
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-1,728
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-438
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-281
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$-193
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-172
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$-146
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$-145
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$-140
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$-140
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$-138
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.008
Sortino
0.007
HHI
122
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
19.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.8
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 640s — normal for humanCV 2.10 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.3 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)26.2%
Mid (20-55c)37.5%
High (>55c)36.3%
Sessions
#124/28/2026, 1:24:04 PM2 trades$6,7000 min
4/29/2026, 1:24:38 PM2 trades$3,3330 min
6/30/2026, 11:26:59 PM24 trades$1,32512 min
7/16/2026, 9:56:05 AM42 trades$84522 min
6/16/2026, 9:31:45 AM4 trades$7541 min
7/7/2026, 5:52:53 PM1 trades$7190 min
7/1/2026, 7:17:02 AM4 trades$6573 min
7/20/2026, 12:59:40 PM16 trades$6434 min
6/29/2026, 12:28:20 PM28 trades$6402 min
5/16/2026, 8:32:52 AM4 trades$6270 min
6/7/2026, 10:14:46 PM12 trades$5636 min
5/2/2026, 10:02:14 AM18 trades$5445 min
7/7/2026, 7:24:52 PM4 trades$5320 min
7/14/2026, 12:32:41 PM3 trades$5033 min
4/24/2026, 8:27:42 AM2 trades$5000 min
7/6/2026, 8:56:19 AM12 trades$4961 min
7/7/2026, 9:21:01 AM2 trades$4760 min
4/27/2026, 6:40:24 PM2 trades$4330 min
6/20/2026, 9:29:02 AM2 trades$4000 min
4/29/2026, 11:30:06 AM5 trades$3970 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
08-15
10-19
01-15
04-10
05-29
07-16
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.33/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L26.2 / M37.5 / H36.3