@0xb6987E4A9B5F238BF627ff2AA511F0C0Da50976A-1770763811959

#3,052,4976

0xb6987e4a9b5f238bf627ff2aa511f0c0da50976a

~95d· 97 markets · 3812 tradesVol: $3,435,0312026-08-02 06:51:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

14% (13/92)0/20
0.57x (win $16,322 / loss $28,764)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2670/15
Sortino -4.2880/10
$-0.0372 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1231 (92 markets)6.3/10
8/51 profitable days (16%)0/10
Max DD 215% of peak ($23,334 / $10,861)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
66% entries < $0.20
Whale
$334,900 invested
High Roller
$2,537/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,635,950$-8,857Vol: $3,106,035
📈 ECONOMICS#10,376$137Vol: $274,959
🎭 CULTURE#782,836$-108Vol: $27,060
💰 FINANCE#598,460$-22Vol: $26,464
CRYPTO#80,069$128Vol: $512

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-8,722
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,435,031
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
97
total markets
Trades
1730B / 2082S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d

Periods

#2
Today
$699
Vol: $508
Week
$959
Vol: $508
Month
$1,015
Vol: $2,731
All Time
$-8,722
Vol: $3,435,031

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
14%
13W / 79L events
Realized PnL
$-8,722
Win Rate
14%
13W / 79L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$1,256
Avg Loss
$-378

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,994 (1.7190898647362716% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$12,474
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1,633
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$887
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?$363
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$249
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$203
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$199
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$157

Top Losers

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-4,656
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?$-2,996
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?$-1,785
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$-1,629
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-1,614
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$-1,578
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?$-1,499
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-1,089
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-994
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-969

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.117
Sortino
-0.240
HHI
2230
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
38.6%
Top-5 markets
80%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 570s — normal for humanCV 6.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency0.7 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
40.73
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)65.9%
Mid (20-55c)1.4%
High (>55c)32.7%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2026, 10:51:17 PM7 trades$101,5900 min
5/27/2026, 12:53:16 AM7 trades$100,0343 min
5/25/2026, 5:34:46 AM3 trades$94,8400 min
5/24/2026, 7:49:34 PM11 trades$93,8641 min
4/23/2026, 10:08:16 PM41 trades$85,7110 min
4/22/2026, 6:36:04 AM26 trades$78,8580 min
5/24/2026, 7:33:06 PM4 trades$65,3990 min
5/24/2026, 3:44:05 PM4 trades$53,7010 min
5/24/2026, 11:07:17 AM24 trades$49,7770 min
4/17/2026, 6:54:50 PM49 trades$38,5880 min
4/24/2026, 10:41:40 AM36 trades$38,2320 min
3/31/2026, 11:22:21 PM2 trades$34,8200 min
5/11/2026, 8:52:20 PM9 trades$30,00014 min
4/24/2026, 5:00:50 PM22 trades$25,5505 min
4/21/2026, 8:18:38 PM46 trades$24,9810 min
3/31/2026, 10:18:05 PM25 trades$24,6250 min
5/26/2026, 7:58:09 PM29 trades$24,2057 min
4/23/2026, 12:12:08 AM29 trades$24,0015 min
5/27/2026, 12:36:04 AM8 trades$21,5955 min
5/16/2026, 5:54:41 AM3 trades$20,9950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-30
04-16
05-03
05-15
05-26
06-08
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 84 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 40.73/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L65.9 / M1.4 / H32.7