@Mr.Probability
#2,912,090830xb755468ac9555f6b3354119806bced26c8cab009
~20d· 79 markets · 1238 tradesVol: $281,8662026-08-02 07:43:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
79% (62/78)20/20
1.66x (win $19,486 / loss $11,733)10.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.64415/15
Sortino 17.03610/10
$+0.0788 per $1 invested3.9/10
HHI 746 (78 markets)8.8/10
9/15 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 35% of peak ($2,712 / $7,753)7/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 79%
DCA Master
Avg 15.4 entries/market
Whale
$98,356 invested
High Roller
$1,667/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#85,393$212Vol: $104,695
₿ CRYPTO#1,419,432$-66Vol: $92,720
🏛️ POLITICS#1,504,518$-83Vol: $52,096
💰 FINANCE#652,158$-872Vol: $28,165
🎭 CULTURE#737,894$-27Vol: $2,108
🌤️ WEATHER#170,619$-0Vol: $14
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-914
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$281,866
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
79
total markets
Trades
334B / 904S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-914
Vol: $281,866
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
79%
62W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-914
Win Rate
79%
62W / 16L
Profit Factor
1.66x
Avg Win
$314
Avg Loss
$-978
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,549 (19.20693467006687% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$13,200
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?$2,375
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?$1,974
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$526
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$298
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$165
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$138
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$51
Top Losers
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-6,000
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-2,000
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?$-1,670
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$-1,252
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$-227
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$-197
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$-186
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-102
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$-70
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?$-23
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.235
Sortino
0.643
HHI
585
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.080
Kelly %
61.6%
Half-Kelly
30.8%
Top-1 market
15.6%
Top-5 markets
45.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
21.0
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.2m
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.3
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 71s — normal for humanCV 2.14 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity21 trades/day — high frequency1.3 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.36
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)3.9%
Mid (20-55c)2.7%
High (>55c)93.4%
Sessions
#126/28/2026, 2:27:41 AM37 trades$15,70413 min
6/17/2026, 11:25:38 AM17 trades$9,9211 min
6/10/2026, 3:32:55 AM211 trades$8,7876 min
6/30/2026, 2:50:43 PM12 trades$8,4120 min
6/28/2026, 3:25:59 AM19 trades$8,1961 min
6/17/2026, 2:58:00 AM13 trades$7,9472 min
6/14/2026, 12:49:49 PM97 trades$7,88110 min
6/17/2026, 2:39:00 AM9 trades$7,8681 min
6/29/2026, 6:21:08 AM20 trades$7,6903 min
6/14/2026, 10:03:13 PM11 trades$5,5552 min
6/14/2026, 1:37:39 PM10 trades$5,1520 min
6/15/2026, 6:04:52 PM7 trades$4,7225 min
6/28/2026, 1:53:02 AM42 trades$4,66319 min
6/28/2026, 3:46:40 AM5 trades$4,6460 min
6/2/2026, 12:32:24 AM6 trades$3,1392 min
6/14/2026, 6:26:45 PM4 trades$2,6895 min
7/17/2026, 5:51:24 PM17 trades$2,6460 min
6/4/2026, 8:27:51 PM38 trades$2,6386 min
7/23/2026, 12:16:24 PM35 trades$2,3260 min
7/1/2026, 12:32:28 PM22 trades$2,3253 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-27
06-03
06-05
06-14
06-16
06-28
07-01
07-17
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 16 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
73% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.36/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.9 / M2.7 / H93.4