@billyballsacks
#2,571,53250xb7c74975b4529ca35cd0cd91e444b2ca5c8db3bb
~22d· 210 markets · 683 tradesVol: $53,4922026-08-02 06:30:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
23% (43/186)0/20
0.63x (win $113 / loss $179)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.2180/15
Sortino -7.1830/10
$-0.0545 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1484 (186 markets)5.1/10
4/20 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 361% of peak ($92 / $25)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#1,511,009$-93Vol: $45,278
⚽ SPORTS#1,456,355$-20Vol: $4,694
📈 ECONOMICS#577,463$-6Vol: $1,799
🌤️ WEATHER#17,352$17Vol: $960
🎭 CULTURE#119,265$2Vol: $301
📢 MENTIONS#92,792$-2Vol: $254
💻 TECH#211,821$-4Vol: $195
💰 FINANCE#466,322$-1Vol: $10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-106
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$53,492
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
210
total markets
Trades
274B / 409S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~22d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-106
Vol: $53,492
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
23%
43W / 143L events
Realized PnL
$-106
Win Rate
23%
43W / 143L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-2
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $51 (0.4830636055701919% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18?$27
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 4?$15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?$9
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$8
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next PMQ?$7
Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$6
Will Starmer say "Brexit" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$6
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$5
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$2
Top Losers
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-20
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next PMQ?$-12
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-8
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$-6
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$-5
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?$-4
Exact Score: Gibraltar 3 - 0 British Virgin Islands?$-2
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?$-2
Will Portugal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$-2
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Nigeria?$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.317
Sortino
-0.439
HHI
4049
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
63.4%
Top-5 markets
72.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
10.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
38.1m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.3
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 39s — normal for humanCV 6.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule11 trades/day — very active3.3 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.37
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)53.6%
Mid (20-55c)15.7%
High (>55c)30.7%
Sessions
#126/19/2026, 1:21:43 AM19 trades$1,5104 min
5/18/2026, 10:05:01 PM2 trades$7860 min
7/4/2026, 1:18:20 AM46 trades$40718 min
5/18/2026, 3:43:55 PM12 trades$40111 min
6/4/2026, 7:07:10 PM20 trades$3131 min
6/4/2026, 11:02:31 AM13 trades$2851 min
7/15/2026, 8:50:19 PM66 trades$20217 min
6/13/2026, 1:44:55 PM59 trades$17125 min
5/20/2026, 12:29:28 AM51 trades$15716 min
6/4/2026, 2:23:25 PM18 trades$1443 min
6/5/2026, 5:15:16 PM24 trades$938 min
6/20/2026, 7:35:47 PM26 trades$9313 min
7/19/2026, 7:59:52 PM6 trades$853 min
6/2/2026, 10:54:00 AM33 trades$8213 min
6/3/2026, 11:02:43 PM4 trades$754 min
6/10/2026, 9:31:21 PM14 trades$6111 min
6/4/2026, 2:01:22 PM2 trades$550 min
6/21/2026, 2:20:07 PM15 trades$472 min
6/12/2026, 5:18:46 PM36 trades$454 min
6/13/2026, 1:28:52 PM57 trades$4210 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-18
05-21
06-04
06-12
06-20
06-26
07-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 62 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.37/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.6 / M15.7 / H30.7