elreptil

@elreptil

#5,41975

0xb8d2bf9500e4731b09f54c7ebec6bf89899ec66b

~197d· 142 markets · 1458 tradesVol: $1,609,5592026-08-02 05:18:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (91/138)18/20
1.47x (win $98,995 / loss $67,149)8.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.81915/15
Sortino 2.14010/10
$+0.0294 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 200 (138 markets)10/10
67/105 profitable days (64%)8.5/10
Max DD 53% of peak ($21,965 / $41,711)3.5/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+31,152
DCA Master
Avg 9.5 entries/market
Whale
$1,084,944 invested
Consistent
67/105 profitable days
High Roller
$1,682/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,824$25,511Vol: $868,774
CRYPTO#2,330$19,154Vol: $581,342
SPORTS#1,834,576$-1,182Vol: $97,478
🎭 CULTURE#816,111$-12,716Vol: $55,600
📈 ECONOMICS#6,390$308Vol: $5,596
💰 FINANCE#628,317$-88Vol: $769

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$30,987
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,609,559
Total Redeem
$31,537
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
142
total markets
Trades
466B / 992S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~197d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,542
Vol: $4,855
Week
$1,735
Vol: $4,855
Month
$2,890
Vol: $4,855
All Time
$30,987
Vol: $1,609,559

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
91W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$31,152
Win Rate
66%
91W / 47L
Profit Factor
1.47x
Avg Win
$1,088
Avg Loss
$-1,492

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,017 (0.5783713560412385% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$7,698
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?$5,766
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$4,554
Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?$4,384
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$3,937
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?$3,776
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$3,768
Will Bitcoin reach $135K in August?$3,113
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?$2,888
Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$2,823

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-18,795
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?$-15,000
US military action against Iran before July?$-12,716
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$-3,548
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,312
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-2,009
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$-1,446
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-1,413
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-1,396
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner$-1,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.095
Sortino
0.070
HHI
199
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.030
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
18.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.5h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 308s — normal for humanCV 1.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.53
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.4%
Mid (20-55c)9.2%
High (>55c)82.4%

Sessions

#12
4/10/2026, 1:23:59 AM103 trades$22,3961 min
8/18/2025, 2:58:44 AM4 trades$21,8991 min
1/27/2025, 3:44:47 AM1 trades$20,5280 min
3/31/2026, 6:59:59 PM3 trades$19,6270 min
7/1/2026, 5:32:43 AM38 trades$17,9901 min
7/12/2026, 10:00:47 PM44 trades$17,5414 min
12/2/2025, 7:26:47 PM4 trades$17,0002 min
7/5/2026, 3:24:41 AM37 trades$16,3812 min
4/6/2025, 4:55:30 AM1 trades$16,0140 min
4/4/2025, 4:26:00 AM1 trades$16,0000 min
12/2/2025, 1:32:42 AM4 trades$16,0007 min
3/26/2025, 4:41:11 AM1 trades$15,0570 min
3/23/2025, 4:45:44 PM1 trades$15,0570 min
3/2/2025, 5:59:23 PM2 trades$15,0000 min
4/6/2025, 4:40:22 AM1 trades$15,0000 min
5/12/2025, 10:35:16 AM1 trades$15,0000 min
5/13/2025, 2:26:08 PM1 trades$15,0000 min
7/1/2025, 10:36:27 PM2 trades$15,0000 min
9/10/2025, 10:22:41 PM3 trades$14,9960 min
2/25/2025, 7:50:55 PM2 trades$14,9561 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-28
03-26
10-03
12-17
03-03
05-27
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 34 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.53/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.4 / M9.2 / H82.4