@NostraMus
#2,645,462440xba0f2eee2024a872b2ba2fa8792bb241d455ce35
~21d· 18 markets · 187 tradesVol: $77,5902026-08-02 04:12:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
44
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
39% (7/18)4.4/20
1.10x (win $2,810 / loss $2,562)3.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.76214.3/15
Sortino 1.16910/10
$+0.0308 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 1452 (18 markets)5.2/10
5/10 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 553% of peak ($1,368 / $248)0/10
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-147
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$77,590
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
85B / 102S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
39%
7W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-147
Win Rate
39%
7W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$401
Avg Loss
$-320
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,403 (16.333741246855666% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?$1,450
Will Algeria be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$654
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$299
Will Croatia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$191
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$120
Australia vs. Egypt: Australia O/U 0.5$84
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13
Top Losers
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$-1,219
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$-663
Will South America win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-370
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 2?$-100
Will Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-82
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-58
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?$-52
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.038
Sortino
0.050
HHI
1424
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23.7%
Top-5 markets
76.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
6.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
29.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1741s — normal for humanCV 1.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.39
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)10.6%
Mid (20-55c)32.9%
High (>55c)56.5%
Sessions
#127/3/2026, 3:59:50 AM6 trades$1,3960 min
7/8/2026, 5:20:50 AM6 trades$9860 min
7/2/2026, 8:06:17 AM2 trades$9090 min
7/23/2026, 12:32:22 AM8 trades$7431 min
7/29/2026, 1:01:28 AM2 trades$5460 min
7/26/2026, 4:54:40 AM6 trades$5310 min
7/27/2026, 11:28:13 PM6 trades$5000 min
7/6/2026, 7:09:23 AM7 trades$4312 min
7/3/2026, 8:40:08 PM2 trades$4150 min
7/24/2026, 8:36:46 AM3 trades$4100 min
7/24/2026, 12:08:34 AM2 trades$4000 min
7/25/2026, 12:43:03 AM3 trades$3852 min
7/23/2026, 3:21:57 PM2 trades$3530 min
7/7/2026, 7:15:44 AM5 trades$3340 min
7/3/2026, 6:23:11 PM4 trades$3003 min
7/27/2026, 7:40:33 PM6 trades$3000 min
7/3/2026, 10:11:04 AM5 trades$2802 min
7/21/2026, 7:02:04 AM3 trades$2700 min
7/22/2026, 7:56:37 PM2 trades$2700 min
7/19/2026, 9:05:40 PM4 trades$2680 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
07-03
07-06
07-08
07-12
07-14
07-18
07-19
07-26
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 23 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.6 / M32.9 / H56.5