@holacomesta

#2,950,02316

0xba0f4daad96d195de49e782ca8780033c1e81011

~24d· 403 markets · 2240 tradesVol: $57,1332026-08-02 07:05:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (44/109)5.2/20
0.56x (win $549 / loss $975)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -10.0000/15
Sortino -8.9760/10
$-0.0297 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 164 (109 markets)10/10
6/18 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 4628% of peak ($436 / $9)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,574,280$-257Vol: $14,464
💰 FINANCE#645,774$-337Vol: $10,471
⚽ SPORTS#1,722,329$-162Vol: $10,300
💻 TECH#249,802$-124Vol: $5,837
📈 ECONOMICS#664,272$-147Vol: $4,981
🎭 CULTURE#777,427$-92Vol: $4,948
🌤️ WEATHER#273,061$-42Vol: $2,126
₿ CRYPTO#1,087,685$-7Vol: $600
📢 MENTIONS#122,857$-8Vol: $300

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,264
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,133
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
403
total markets
Trades
1342B / 898S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $222
Week
$-293
Vol: $222
Month
$-95
Vol: $6,411
All Time
$-1,264
Vol: $57,133

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
44W / 65L events
Realized PnL
$-1,264
Win Rate
40%
44W / 65L
Profit Factor
0.56x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $129 (0.10214321894390276% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bilibili Gaming win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$55
Will PARIVISION win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament$41
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$34
Will "Dai Dai" be the first song played at the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?$31
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$31
Will Richard Carapaz be awarded the Polka Dot Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$26
Will Lionel Messi win the Bronze Boot at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25
Will three people dissent the July Fed decision?$25
Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 40%-42%?$21
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the EWC League of Legends Tournament$18

Top Losers

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-88
Will the South African Reserve Bank hold at the July 2026 meeting?$-57
Will Team Yandex win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament$-49
World Cup: Messi to Score 2+ Penalties?$-46
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?$-45
Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?$-41
Will Paul Seixas win the White Jersey at the 2026 Tour De France?$-37
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?$-35
Will the margin of victory at the end of the 2026 Tour De France be 5:00-6:59?$-34
Will Team Falcons win the EWC Dota 2 Tournament$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.509
Sortino
-0.502
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.110
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.9%
Top-5 markets
4.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
74.7
Very active
Markets / Day
13.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
7s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.6m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.6

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
50% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 0.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock75 trades/day — mass trading13 markets/day — mass coverage60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.26
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.2%
Mid (20-55c)16.2%
High (>55c)71.5%

Sessions

#12
7/23/2026, 12:17:13 PM10 trades$1995 min
7/17/2026, 1:32:13 PM12 trades$1659 min
7/23/2026, 1:41:45 PM9 trades$1592 min
8/1/2026, 12:35:50 AM14 trades$1467 min
7/23/2026, 1:10:12 PM11 trades$1424 min
7/23/2026, 8:31:52 AM3 trades$1400 min
7/8/2026, 9:47:34 AM7 trades$1381 min
7/22/2026, 3:19:18 PM6 trades$1361 min
7/22/2026, 1:51:25 AM4 trades$1360 min
7/6/2026, 2:39:52 PM3 trades$1340 min
7/22/2026, 1:29:39 AM3 trades$1330 min
7/15/2026, 11:25:26 AM3 trades$1330 min
7/7/2026, 8:26:05 AM7 trades$1321 min
7/8/2026, 10:54:35 AM4 trades$1320 min
7/26/2026, 11:29:46 PM5 trades$1310 min
7/21/2026, 5:50:40 AM8 trades$1301 min
7/6/2026, 2:26:01 AM8 trades$1292 min
7/23/2026, 9:58:25 AM6 trades$1294 min
7/17/2026, 6:59:16 AM3 trades$1280 min
7/26/2026, 8:58:19 PM4 trades$1270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-05
07-08
07-17
07-20
07-23
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 23 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.2 / M16.2 / H71.5