@simplystupid186

#2,141,59626

0xbad954cc7cbe98489c0d3ed5fdee075fcf782647

~6d· 29 markets · 302 tradesVol: $48,7422026-08-02 06:22:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

17% (5/29)0/20
1.34x (win $798 / loss $594)6.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.1610 per $1 invested8/10
HHI 882 (29 markets)8.1/10
2/6 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 57% of peak ($162 / $285)2.6/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
71% entries < $0.20

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#263,792$-24Vol: $48,092
💰 FINANCE#439,159$-1Vol: $650

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-24
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,742
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
29
total markets
Trades
175B / 127S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-8
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-24
Vol: $48,742

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
17%
5W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-24
Win Rate
17%
5W / 24L
Profit Factor
1.34x
Avg Win
$160
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $691 (28.350430857611816% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?$264
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 28?$231
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 26?$196
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 26?$92
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?$15

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 27?$-276
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 28?$-119
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 27?$-63
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 27?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 27?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 27?$-18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 28?$-17
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on June 27?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 28?$-8
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 27?$-8

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.227
Sortino
0.432
HHI
1470
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.161
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
26.5%
Top-5 markets
75.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.3
Very active
Markets / Day
4.8
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.4m
between trades
Night Trading
56%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 162s — normal for humanCV 2.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)56% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule50 trades/day — mass trading4.8 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.41
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)70.9%
Mid (20-55c)9.7%
High (>55c)19.4%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 5:36:05 AM40 trades$61511 min
6/27/2026, 9:27:23 AM18 trades$4766 min
6/27/2026, 5:19:22 AM14 trades$3784 min
6/28/2026, 9:26:13 AM2 trades$3570 min
6/27/2026, 11:26:53 AM13 trades$3261 min
6/25/2026, 8:48:59 AM4 trades$2882 min
6/26/2026, 5:06:55 AM11 trades$1955 min
6/27/2026, 11:18:10 AM10 trades$1890 min
6/28/2026, 3:19:43 AM4 trades$1730 min
6/28/2026, 4:04:16 AM7 trades$1551 min
6/27/2026, 8:58:16 AM12 trades$13910 min
6/26/2026, 1:12:21 PM9 trades$1254 min
6/27/2026, 3:08:35 AM7 trades$1058 min
6/26/2026, 1:24:39 PM20 trades$10118 min
6/26/2026, 8:22:05 AM3 trades$1000 min
6/27/2026, 1:22:46 AM8 trades$994 min
6/27/2026, 4:59:25 AM8 trades$906 min
6/27/2026, 12:25:41 PM4 trades$850 min
6/27/2026, 11:44:20 AM5 trades$542 min
6/27/2026, 5:38:11 AM7 trades$530 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
06-26
06-27
06-28
06-29
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
86.2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.41/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L70.9 / M9.7 / H19.4