@GaryWard
#2,887,833260xbb550f07b67a7b244cdec69796156f7bf8d9827a
~28d· 47 markets · 115 tradesVol: $216,2192026-08-02 06:21:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (21/42)10/20
0.64x (win $513 / loss $800)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1620/15
Sortino -2.5070/10
$-0.0017 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 554 (42 markets)9.7/10
12/22 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 10401% of peak ($708 / $7)0/10
Badges
1Whale
$165,775 invested
Categories
7⚽ SPORTS#1,603,172$-54Vol: $90,690
🏛️ POLITICS#1,574,703$-270Vol: $62,179
📈 ECONOMICS#607,799$-13Vol: $40,889
₿ CRYPTO#1,572,215$-366Vol: $22,437
🎭 CULTURE#644,362$-5Vol: $8
💰 FINANCE#502,288$-2Vol: $7
💻 TECH#47,243$1Vol: $4
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-713
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$216,219
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
47
total markets
Trades
58B / 57S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d
Periods
#2Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-713
Vol: $216,219
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
21W / 21L events
Realized PnL
$-713
Win Rate
50%
21W / 21L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-38
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $300 (0.421435989558481% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$140
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$91
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$70
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30
Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$30
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?$26
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$25
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?$25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$20
Top Losers
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-351
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-302
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?$-60
Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-10
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-10
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$-10
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$-6
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?$-5
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times April 18–25?$-5
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.111
Sortino
-0.097
HHI
325
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
30.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.5m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
30
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 0.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.29
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)13.8%
High (>55c)84.5%
Sessions
#122/15/2026, 7:20:43 AM12 trades$44,6779 min
2/13/2026, 2:25:53 PM7 trades$34,5923 min
5/30/2026, 2:36:05 PM26 trades$30,9033 min
2/11/2026, 10:29:05 AM10 trades$29,76710 min
6/20/2026, 2:23:07 PM16 trades$29,5866 min
6/26/2026, 11:06:17 AM13 trades$29,5562 min
4/26/2026, 8:24:40 AM2 trades$10,0380 min
3/18/2026, 6:53:11 AM1 trades$4,9960 min
10/17/2024, 3:07:58 PM2 trades$5700 min
12/9/2025, 2:49:32 PM1 trades$5320 min
10/31/2024, 5:07:16 AM1 trades$3020 min
10/29/2024, 1:32:58 PM1 trades$2970 min
10/23/2024, 1:51:26 PM1 trades$2850 min
10/13/2024, 1:33:04 PM1 trades$2800 min
10/15/2024, 7:46:49 AM1 trades$2750 min
1/27/2026, 2:45:43 PM1 trades$2570 min
12/21/2024, 9:35:18 PM3 trades$2544 min
12/27/2025, 3:57:23 AM1 trades$2280 min
12/20/2025, 8:06:54 AM1 trades$2200 min
12/19/2025, 9:40:20 AM1 trades$1620 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-17
11-16
03-08
07-17
12-19
02-11
03-18
06-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 416 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.7 / M13.8 / H84.5