@soothsayer234

#3,063,0987

0xbb92bd6e4e69787ddf998381c50452e485e22dd5

~30d· 28 markets · 303 tradesVol: $615,3682026-08-02 04:11:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

7
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

23% (6/26)0/20
0.17x (win $3,997 / loss $23,130)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.7320/15
Sortino -8.0870/10
$-0.3041 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1179 (26 markets)6.6/10
5/19 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($19,133 / $0)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
84% entries < $0.20
Whale
$62,911 invested
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,298$-11,995Vol: $420,425
📈 ECONOMICS#681,168$-4,672Vol: $109,140
SPORTS#1,869,646$-4,716Vol: $45,175
CRYPTO#37,789$656Vol: $28,787
💰 FINANCE#4,962$786Vol: $11,842

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-19,940
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$615,368
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
259B / 44S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Week
$-135
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-19,940
Vol: $615,368

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
23%
6W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-19,940
Win Rate
23%
6W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$666
Avg Loss
$-1,157

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,147 (0.1578009836327009% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$1,282
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1,203
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?$662
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$655
S&P 500 all time high by December 31?$125
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?$71

Top Losers

Netanyahu out by March 31?$-7,732
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$-3,535
China wins the most gold medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$-3,215
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-1,932
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-1,680
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$-1,254
Will France win Gold in Women's Basketball?$-781
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$-510
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-440
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?$-400

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.445
Sortino
-0.435
HHI
550
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.428
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.6%
Top-5 markets
45.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 3.37 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.92
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)84.2%
Mid (20-55c)3.5%
High (>55c)12.4%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 2:56:50 PM38 trades$30,9886 min
12/3/2025, 3:25:29 AM2 trades$6,6781 min
11/18/2025, 4:08:23 PM1 trades$5,6700 min
12/30/2025, 3:09:23 PM1 trades$4,6150 min
3/14/2026, 10:31:37 PM82 trades$4,5001 min
12/3/2025, 8:52:11 AM1 trades$3,5340 min
8/11/2024, 12:16:29 PM5 trades$3,49611 min
12/8/2025, 5:13:33 AM4 trades$3,4633 min
11/15/2025, 12:25:00 PM1 trades$3,2780 min
11/21/2025, 2:53:53 PM1 trades$2,9500 min
3/15/2026, 11:23:33 PM43 trades$2,78415 min
11/25/2025, 1:33:59 PM1 trades$2,7200 min
3/15/2026, 3:04:33 PM2 trades$2,3220 min
3/14/2026, 10:25:27 PM2 trades$2,1301 min
12/24/2025, 1:57:19 PM9 trades$1,7479 min
11/7/2025, 2:22:01 AM1 trades$1,7300 min
11/15/2025, 12:18:44 PM1 trades$1,7300 min
11/4/2025, 2:30:31 PM2 trades$1,6592 min
12/16/2025, 4:36:47 AM2 trades$1,5640 min
1/7/2026, 5:41:39 AM1 trades$1,5500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-11
11-18
12-16
12-24
01-30
03-15
04-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.92/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L84.2 / M3.5 / H12.4