@impermanentW
#266,506530xbbe366c1ebd8fbc85ff0538e1ccb8645ed31dc16
~25d· 98 markets · 268 tradesVol: $21,0052026-08-03 00:25:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
24% (23/94)0/20
1.27x (win $697 / loss $548)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.15415/15
Sortino 7.32310/10
$+0.1117 per $1 invested5.6/10
HHI 613 (94 markets)9.4/10
8/23 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 39% of peak ($94 / $243)6.2/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+78
Lottery Player
51% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#1,605,750$-55Vol: $17,362
🏛️ POLITICS#85,278$56Vol: $1,425
🎭 CULTURE#47,451$21Vol: $1,094
💻 TECH#10,402$33Vol: $634
₿ CRYPTO#107,761$77Vol: $365
💰 FINANCE#605,953$-30Vol: $92
📢 MENTIONS#142,935$-20Vol: $24
🌤️ WEATHER#222,732$-4Vol: $9
Overview
#1Net PnL
$78
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,005
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
98
total markets
Trades
151B / 117S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$78
Vol: $21,005
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
24%
23W / 71L events
Realized PnL
$78
Win Rate
24%
23W / 71L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-11
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $325 (4.142200663773296% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$136
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $114
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$74
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$68
Will Switzerland reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$31
Will Sweden be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?$29
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?$26
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$26
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25
Top Losers
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?$-59
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-50
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?$-35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-30
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-28
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-28
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?$-24
Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?$-22
Will Olympique Lyon play in Ligue 1? $-20
Will Israel annex Gazan territory before July?$-17
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.161
Sortino
0.516
HHI
312
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.117
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
31.5%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.7m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 79s — normal for humanCV 1.41 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern22/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.61
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)51%
Mid (20-55c)27.8%
High (>55c)21.2%
Sessions
#127/8/2026, 1:17:29 AM8 trades$8196 min
6/8/2026, 11:09:04 PM25 trades$3488 min
6/23/2026, 3:59:29 PM19 trades$19814 min
7/1/2026, 6:38:22 PM17 trades$1693 min
6/1/2026, 10:33:53 AM6 trades$1490 min
6/9/2026, 11:44:48 AM7 trades$1460 min
6/8/2026, 9:54:21 PM5 trades$1440 min
7/11/2026, 11:10:41 PM5 trades$1410 min
10/26/2025, 1:23:49 PM7 trades$1258 min
7/14/2026, 8:31:07 PM5 trades$1210 min
5/30/2026, 7:15:56 PM6 trades$1000 min
5/30/2026, 7:35:11 PM3 trades$1000 min
6/25/2025, 6:11:41 AM1 trades$940 min
6/8/2026, 9:31:46 PM6 trades$905 min
6/27/2026, 6:08:13 PM6 trades$801 min
7/1/2026, 1:18:59 AM4 trades$800 min
5/30/2026, 7:21:04 PM11 trades$804 min
6/9/2026, 12:07:55 PM15 trades$796 min
7/1/2026, 1:06:29 AM4 trades$742 min
6/4/2026, 4:50:06 PM7 trades$713 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-17
06-19
07-08
05-30
06-09
06-27
07-06
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.61/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L51 / M27.8 / H21.2