@Marcusbd

#2,815,09358

0xbc1c4dc4c9e511a2092f31f2a0d2187a5cad17d9

~25d· 135 markets · 491 tradesVol: $26,8642026-08-02 05:28:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (70/123)13.5/20
1.08x (win $277 / loss $257)3.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.90315/15
Sortino 1.31010/10
$+0.0066 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 557 (123 markets)9.7/10
12/22 profitable days (55%)6.1/10
Max DD 140% of peak ($62 / $44)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

7
🌤️ WEATHER#290,758$-213Vol: $17,925
SPORTS#1,692,448$-114Vol: $3,359
💻 TECH#227,362$-11Vol: $1,886
CRYPTO#1,389,404$-51Vol: $1,861
🏛️ POLITICS#1,277,303$-10Vol: $1,757
💰 FINANCE#81,482$4Vol: $38
📢 MENTIONS#95,421$-2Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-393
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$26,864
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
135
total markets
Trades
191B / 300S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~25d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-58
Vol: $0
Month
$-59
Vol: $1,873
All Time
$-393
Vol: $26,864

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
70W / 53L events
Realized PnL
$-393
Win Rate
57%
70W / 53L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $49 (0.12450708525199074% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?$24
ITF Blois: Julia Riera vs Mathilde Lollia$13
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$12
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 1.5$12
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$10
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$9
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 27?$9
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 25?$8
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 27?$8
Brescia: Danka Kovinic vs Miriam Bulgaru$8

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-44
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-20
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$-20
HSBC Championships: Cameron Norrie vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina$-15
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$-10
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 2.5$-10
Nottingham Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Leylah Fernandez$-10
Grass Court Championships: Elise Mertens vs Liudmila Samsonova$-10
Poznan: Milos Karol vs Joao Lucas Da Silva$-10
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 2.5$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.046
Sortino
0.064
HHI
275
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.007
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 962s — normal for humanCV 1.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity10 trades/day — very active2.8 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.59
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.3%
High (>55c)69.1%

Sessions

#12
6/28/2026, 9:08:17 PM23 trades$5,1002 min
7/31/2026, 7:35:45 PM7 trades$1,5541 min
6/26/2026, 4:33:02 AM9 trades$2752 min
6/19/2026, 8:17:22 AM10 trades$2641 min
6/27/2026, 2:15:26 PM4 trades$2171 min
6/25/2026, 8:14:46 PM7 trades$1962 min
6/28/2026, 5:46:52 PM6 trades$1823 min
6/27/2026, 7:53:05 AM7 trades$1810 min
6/25/2026, 9:33:38 AM6 trades$1634 min
6/27/2026, 3:46:07 PM9 trades$1633 min
6/27/2026, 8:01:16 PM6 trades$1233 min
6/28/2026, 10:08:17 AM9 trades$1171 min
6/28/2026, 2:56:47 PM2 trades$1160 min
6/27/2026, 8:37:34 AM10 trades$1132 min
6/27/2026, 4:28:10 PM3 trades$1100 min
6/27/2026, 6:20:47 AM10 trades$1091 min
6/25/2026, 4:36:26 AM7 trades$1086 min
6/27/2026, 6:37:44 PM2 trades$1080 min
6/27/2026, 11:19:50 AM2 trades$1070 min
6/26/2026, 8:13:01 AM3 trades$1060 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-17
06-21
06-24
06-27
07-06
07-20
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
26% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.59/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.6 / M18.3 / H69.1