@davebateman
#2,878,738100xbd1a6a1ae6b2e36c38b4069b9a101b71e7a9be4f
~16d· 50 markets · 185 tradesVol: $20,0352026-08-02 05:49:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
20% (9/45)0/20
0.74x (win $339 / loss $459)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.8010/15
Sortino -7.4060/10
$-0.1371 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 683 (45 markets)9.1/10
5/15 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($159 / $0)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#1,805,765$-622Vol: $8,981
🏛️ POLITICS#110,573$32Vol: $6,449
🎭 CULTURE#748,797$-35Vol: $3,879
📈 ECONOMICS#397,290$-0Vol: $500
₿ CRYPTO#1,278,713$-22Vol: $145
🌤️ WEATHER#228,947$-5Vol: $81
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-653
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,035
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
50
total markets
Trades
82B / 103S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-653
Vol: $20,035
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
20%
9W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$-653
Win Rate
20%
9W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.74x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $242 (0.37089022224943363% of PnL)
Top Winners
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde 2nd Half O/U 0.5$100
Portugal vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 0.5$90
Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?$52
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?$39
Norway vs. England: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5$16
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$13
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals$13
France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 Corners$11
Spain to score first vs. Belgium?$5
Top Losers
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?$-40
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-40
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$-30
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Cabo Verde?$-20
Canada vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$-20
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?$-20
Exact Score: Paraguay 2 - 3 France?$-20
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-20
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 3 France?$-20
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.344
Sortino
-0.572
HHI
483
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.150
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
43.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
39
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 284s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern13/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 22:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.13
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)32.9%
Mid (20-55c)41.5%
High (>55c)25.6%
Sessions
#127/3/2026, 10:22:13 PM4 trades$5830 min
6/30/2026, 11:20:08 PM6 trades$2803 min
7/2/2026, 6:13:43 PM8 trades$2194 min
7/10/2026, 2:01:31 PM10 trades$1944 min
4/2/2026, 10:56:21 PM15 trades$1639 min
7/6/2026, 9:10:50 PM4 trades$1561 min
6/30/2026, 10:44:14 PM10 trades$1480 min
7/3/2026, 11:47:28 PM2 trades$1470 min
4/13/2026, 9:15:53 AM7 trades$1305 min
7/3/2026, 11:26:40 PM2 trades$1300 min
7/6/2026, 6:16:14 PM6 trades$973 min
7/3/2026, 9:13:46 PM3 trades$850 min
7/3/2026, 3:30:41 PM2 trades$770 min
7/3/2026, 9:19:56 PM5 trades$650 min
6/29/2026, 11:47:07 PM6 trades$635 min
7/5/2026, 10:08:29 PM2 trades$630 min
7/3/2026, 10:34:26 PM15 trades$601 min
4/13/2026, 9:25:37 AM4 trades$560 min
7/4/2026, 1:00:29 AM2 trades$420 min
7/5/2026, 6:14:01 PM5 trades$403 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
04-13
06-30
07-03
07-05
07-09
07-12
07-20
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.13/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.9 / M41.5 / H25.6