frogstradamus

@frogstradamus

#69,57649

0xbdd18e8b7864ce32619b47b10ec1c07df255ae72

~158d· 955 markets · 2268 tradesVol: $212,807 @kermit53292026-08-02 08:56:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

44% (417/947)7/20
1.09x (win $16,865 / loss $15,522)3.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.68312.8/15
Sortino 1.10610/10
$+0.0230 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 105 (947 markets)10/10
69/146 profitable days (47%)4.3/10
Max DD 180% of peak ($3,119 / $1,729)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+1,309
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
Whale
$58,407 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,817,116$-808Vol: $81,635
💰 FINANCE#653,192$-1,077Vol: $20,978
🏛️ POLITICS#1,453,290$-45Vol: $6,779
🎭 CULTURE#757,784$-44Vol: $4,226
CRYPTO#1,462,615$-99Vol: $2,852
📈 ECONOMICS#643,005$-40Vol: $652
📢 MENTIONS#120,853$-7Vol: $108
💻 TECH#175,886$-0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,309
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$212,807
Total Redeem
$3,267
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
955
total markets
Trades
1640B / 628S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~158d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,309
Vol: $212,807

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
44%
417W / 530L events
Realized PnL
$1,309
Win Rate
44%
417W / 530L
Profit Factor
1.09x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-30

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,933 (2.240919578870162% of PnL)

Top Winners

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B$1,121
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)$1,041
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)$771
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$615
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$513
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffs$328
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG (BO1)$302
Lakers vs. Rockets$299
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In$294
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Team Falcons (BO3)$283

Top Losers

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$-926
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3)$-924
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)$-700
Dodgers vs. Blue Jays$-420
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$-344
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-300
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)$-286
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3)$-271
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-09?$-250
Bulls vs. Nets$-250

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.036
Sortino
0.051
HHI
88
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.024
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
13.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 312s — normal for humanCV 2.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal3.5 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.35
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.4%
Mid (20-55c)53.8%
High (>55c)39.8%

Sessions

#12
2/20/2026, 6:27:56 PM3 trades$1,6413 min
12/7/2025, 3:15:57 PM2 trades$1,4522 min
11/10/2025, 1:23:06 PM1 trades$1,3130 min
2/13/2026, 2:46:19 PM17 trades$1,30030 min
11/5/2025, 1:35:39 AM2 trades$1,2162 min
11/10/2025, 2:50:21 AM1 trades$1,1550 min
11/10/2025, 2:59:27 AM1 trades$1,1550 min
11/15/2025, 2:21:16 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
2/19/2026, 2:41:32 PM1 trades$9990 min
2/20/2026, 11:10:30 PM1 trades$9420 min
12/4/2025, 11:48:33 PM2 trades$9242 min
11/7/2025, 12:57:55 AM3 trades$8695 min
1/29/2026, 4:32:26 PM3 trades$8503 min
6/6/2026, 2:03:01 PM14 trades$8159 min
2/18/2026, 7:22:00 PM1 trades$8140 min
12/10/2025, 5:56:16 PM2 trades$7853 min
2/18/2026, 2:37:45 AM1 trades$7500 min
12/7/2025, 5:26:43 PM3 trades$7183 min
11/9/2025, 7:23:17 PM1 trades$7180 min
6/18/2026, 5:07:35 PM9 trades$7031 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-04
11-22
01-22
02-24
03-25
05-22
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 121 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.35/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L6.4 / M53.8 / H39.8