@ted-applebee

#3,026,32420

0xbe8c550aab08fdb3074c5af91ab55bde23739e9e

~68d· 234 markets · 1995 tradesVol: $1,682,9812026-08-02 08:00:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (100/234)6.4/20
0.98x (win $102,008 / loss $104,195)2.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3050/15
Sortino -0.4420/10
$-0.0102 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 138 (234 markets)10/10
21/56 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 190% of peak ($15,943 / $8,412)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
Whale
$214,934 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
77% maker orders

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,635,175$-1,587Vol: $705,272
🏛️ POLITICS#2,375$18,168Vol: $249,942
SPORTS#1,874,078$-7,674Vol: $217,959

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,482
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,682,981
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
234
total markets
Trades
1639B / 356S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
100W / 134L events
Realized PnL
$-3,482
Win Rate
43%
100W / 134L
Profit Factor
0.98x
Avg Win
$1,020
Avg Loss
$-778

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,504 (4.165404917948041% of PnL)

Top Winners

Pistons vs. Cavaliers$5,960
LoL: Shifters vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$4,318
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs$4,226
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$4,209
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$3,387
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$3,253
LoL: Gen.G vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs$3,048
LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage$2,452
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$2,325
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Pittsburgh Panthers: O/U 150.5$2,237

Top Losers

Lakers vs. Rockets$-12,545
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season$-3,078
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)$-2,758
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-2,426
LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$-2,323
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverines$-2,284
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-1,986
LoL: Los Ratones vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season$-1,842
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stage$-1,818
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner$-1,814

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.016
Sortino
-0.024
HHI
94
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
14.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
31.0m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 36s — normal for humanCV 2.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal1.1 markets/day — normal77% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.53
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.9%
Mid (20-55c)44.1%
High (>55c)28.1%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 7:32:50 PM2 trades$12,5450 min
4/22/2026, 5:36:06 AM4 trades$10,4992 min
7/4/2026, 8:04:07 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
5/16/2026, 1:08:41 AM3 trades$8,5010 min
4/24/2026, 7:52:02 PM2 trades$8,4760 min
4/16/2026, 3:04:04 PM19 trades$8,26018 min
4/24/2026, 5:11:54 PM2 trades$5,5790 min
4/24/2026, 5:05:04 PM4 trades$5,2141 min
5/15/2026, 8:09:56 PM4 trades$4,8850 min
4/24/2026, 6:36:08 AM2 trades$4,6730 min
2/1/2026, 8:18:46 PM2 trades$4,6461 min
5/15/2026, 6:30:21 PM6 trades$4,6041 min
1/27/2026, 7:03:51 AM17 trades$4,12811 min
5/15/2026, 7:48:14 PM7 trades$3,9480 min
1/18/2026, 1:18:54 AM14 trades$3,9252 min
1/25/2026, 5:20:02 PM1 trades$3,6470 min
4/17/2026, 8:13:34 PM6 trades$3,6320 min
4/24/2026, 4:10:06 AM7 trades$3,6150 min
2/6/2026, 9:18:55 AM2 trades$3,5320 min
1/27/2026, 11:31:51 AM2 trades$3,5161 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-20
01-18
02-01
02-25
03-21
04-22
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 50 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.53/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L27.9 / M44.1 / H28.1