@Samguerrier007
#2,856,240220xbfb15369bc9ec9921cbe9fe29c284ecb8ca24c66
~26d· 64 markets · 477 tradesVol: $50,7982026-08-02 06:51:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (26/63)5.6/20
0.68x (win $1,160 / loss $1,709)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.8690/15
Sortino -3.1710/10
$-0.1239 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 550 (63 markets)9.7/10
11/20 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 2206% of peak ($679 / $31)0/10
Badges
1Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Categories
5🏛️ POLITICS#1,163,462$-5Vol: $24,070
₿ CRYPTO#1,550,832$-256Vol: $19,370
⚽ SPORTS#1,741,977$-208Vol: $3,610
🎭 CULTURE#767,784$-62Vol: $3,520
💰 FINANCE#551,584$-6Vol: $228
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-538
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$50,798
Total Redeem
$578
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
64
total markets
Trades
152B / 325S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
26W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$-538
Win Rate
41%
26W / 37L
Profit Factor
0.68x
Avg Win
$45
Avg Loss
$-53
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $595 (1.1053580389168693% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$227
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$208
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$161
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$120
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$84
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by May 31, 2026?$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$31
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$31
Top Losers
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?$-481
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$-262
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$-190
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$-87
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by April 30, 2026?$-87
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET$-76
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$-68
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?$-63
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26?$-58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$-33
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.146
Sortino
-0.130
HHI
583
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.125
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.1%
Top-5 markets
46.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.3
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 287s — normal for humanCV 1.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity5 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 11:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.49
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)16.4%
Mid (20-55c)42.8%
High (>55c)40.8%
Sessions
#125/14/2026, 2:52:08 PM35 trades$1,5938 min
4/24/2026, 7:03:26 PM36 trades$1,0809 min
6/29/2026, 11:13:28 AM3 trades$9240 min
5/13/2026, 5:14:36 PM26 trades$8085 min
6/17/2026, 11:01:49 AM15 trades$3290 min
7/3/2026, 6:01:52 AM6 trades$2741 min
6/17/2026, 10:53:23 AM13 trades$2700 min
6/16/2026, 3:07:13 AM13 trades$2552 min
4/29/2026, 10:45:52 AM6 trades$2353 min
6/27/2026, 4:57:01 AM4 trades$2140 min
6/15/2026, 6:42:52 AM18 trades$20115 min
5/13/2026, 5:54:35 PM18 trades$1922 min
6/17/2026, 11:13:05 AM22 trades$1868 min
6/16/2026, 1:33:46 AM2 trades$1540 min
4/24/2026, 9:29:58 AM11 trades$1364 min
4/30/2026, 4:41:46 AM16 trades$1227 min
4/24/2026, 11:29:12 AM7 trades$1160 min
6/15/2026, 2:15:07 PM16 trades$11510 min
6/29/2026, 10:48:52 AM2 trades$1000 min
7/3/2026, 12:31:37 PM7 trades$884 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-08
04-14
04-29
05-14
06-16
06-24
07-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 65 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
68.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.4 / M42.8 / H40.8