@naysayer

#3,009,21436

0xbfd60036b965a704fe63fd79886d1cf2573aa888

~176d· 233 markets · 893 tradesVol: $93,1272026-08-02 06:36:54
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (144/217)18.2/20
0.77x (win $6,342 / loss $8,263)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.6880/15
Sortino -1.9490/10
$-0.0432 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 124 (217 markets)10/10
65/105 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3,369 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Consistent
65/105 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
💰 FINANCE#655,072$-1,988Vol: $38,189
🏛️ POLITICS#1,620,359$-1,501Vol: $22,314
🎭 CULTURE#18,803$118Vol: $11,027
📈 ECONOMICS#5,240$423Vol: $8,719
💻 TECH#2,395$452Vol: $6,206
₿ CRYPTO#145,933$35Vol: $4,931
🌤️ WEATHER#262,757$-22Vol: $862
⚽ SPORTS#272,230$11Vol: $832
📢 MENTIONS#139,046$-17Vol: $48

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,489
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$93,127
Total Redeem
$1,293
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
233
total markets
Trades
582B / 311S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~176d

Periods

#2
Today
$-28
Vol: $0
Week
$-675
Vol: $0
Month
$-33
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,489
Vol: $93,127

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
66%
144W / 73L events
Realized PnL
$-2,489
Win Rate
66%
144W / 73L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$44
Avg Loss
$-123

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,411 (0.5670621702741472% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$638
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$452
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$321
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$280
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$228
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$209
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$176
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$163
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$157
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3PM ET$140

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-814
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-751
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-714
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-626
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?$-548
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$-540
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-429
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-371
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-317
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-267

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.088
Sortino
-0.078
HHI
101
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
13.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 204s — normal for humanCV 1.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.1%
Mid (20-55c)8.8%
High (>55c)88.1%

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 10:53:28 PM4 trades$1,6951 min
7/10/2026, 5:36:58 PM4 trades$1,2781 min
7/28/2026, 1:36:59 PM14 trades$1,1954 min
4/19/2026, 1:46:02 PM5 trades$9011 min
7/31/2025, 4:28:06 PM1 trades$8430 min
12/20/2025, 2:02:26 PM5 trades$8394 min
12/10/2025, 8:42:28 PM2 trades$8272 min
4/16/2026, 2:07:30 PM12 trades$7095 min
7/1/2026, 1:36:29 PM15 trades$7089 min
5/10/2026, 1:16:52 AM18 trades$6595 min
2/22/2026, 1:57:52 PM8 trades$65413 min
12/30/2025, 12:44:21 AM5 trades$6486 min
11/1/2024, 8:35:12 PM1 trades$6390 min
4/25/2026, 9:04:36 PM7 trades$6332 min
11/26/2025, 11:56:35 PM7 trades$6258 min
12/26/2025, 11:30:29 PM4 trades$6083 min
6/30/2025, 6:36:20 PM1 trades$5650 min
12/21/2025, 3:08:19 PM3 trades$5581 min
6/29/2026, 5:03:40 PM10 trades$5437 min
3/14/2026, 9:22:13 PM2 trades$5381 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
08-07
12-01
01-08
02-20
04-04
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.1 / M8.8 / H88.1