@oranginapol

#112,58435

0xc1c9bb686bf11ddeefe57ea1e4ec0ddb6cbb3e2f

~23d· 126 markets · 580 tradesVol: $69,933 @oranginaura2026-08-02 06:29:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (64/100)17/20
0.70x (win $2,512 / loss $3,597)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1380/15
Sortino -2.2840/10
$-0.0357 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 469 (100 markets)10/10
13/21 profitable days (62%)8/10
Max DD 210% of peak ($2,330 / $1,110)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+530
Consistent
13/21 profitable days
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

8
SPORTS#133,551$82Vol: $53,475
🏛️ POLITICS#135,733$19Vol: $8,972
📈 ECONOMICS#6,015$337Vol: $2,686
CRYPTO#141,124$39Vol: $2,460
🎭 CULTURE#70,393$9Vol: $729
🌤️ WEATHER#28,023$6Vol: $366
💰 FINANCE#22,423$67Vol: $267
💻 TECH#15,236$15Vol: $215

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$530
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$69,933
Total Redeem
$9,074
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
126
total markets
Trades
214B / 366S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$356
Vol: $0
Month
$18
Vol: $0
All Time
$530
Vol: $69,933

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
64W / 36L events
Realized PnL
$530
Win Rate
64%
64W / 36L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$39
Avg Loss
$-257

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $980 (1.849125653166324% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$540
Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$270
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$170
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$138
Will DR Congo advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$121
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?$119
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?$94
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$91
UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)$86
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?$82

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,610
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-476
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-353
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-216
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-200
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-200
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-120
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-100
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?$-100
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.109
Sortino
-0.083
HHI
199
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.048
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.5%
Top-5 markets
24.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
17.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.8
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 137s — normal for humanCV 1.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps17/24 hours — normal schedule18 trades/day — very active3.8 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.12
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)15.4%
High (>55c)78%

Sessions

#12
7/16/2026, 2:46:19 PM28 trades$6,96314 min
7/7/2026, 5:32:38 AM35 trades$4,78717 min
7/19/2026, 10:34:52 PM54 trades$3,17813 min
7/11/2026, 4:58:05 AM15 trades$2,5805 min
7/9/2026, 5:37:04 PM17 trades$2,1424 min
7/14/2026, 5:11:44 AM13 trades$2,0347 min
6/21/2026, 9:24:41 AM12 trades$1,5464 min
7/7/2026, 5:08:35 AM11 trades$1,2088 min
7/16/2026, 4:50:17 AM23 trades$1,20712 min
6/23/2026, 4:58:20 AM8 trades$1,2007 min
7/8/2026, 5:26:19 AM26 trades$1,19612 min
6/23/2026, 5:36:59 PM9 trades$1,0823 min
7/23/2026, 4:11:54 PM13 trades$1,0303 min
7/14/2026, 4:08:13 PM3 trades$9990 min
7/11/2026, 4:38:58 AM4 trades$9733 min
6/27/2026, 6:41:50 AM9 trades$8476 min
6/29/2026, 4:42:56 PM4 trades$8001 min
6/24/2026, 2:11:10 AM8 trades$7857 min
6/21/2026, 2:52:55 PM9 trades$7045 min
7/1/2026, 4:29:37 PM10 trades$6361 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-21
06-24
06-30
07-03
07-08
07-11
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
63.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M15.4 / H78