@0xc2281c9e3a960a8cc8f620d0f4d2bd073113d796
30xc2281c9e3a960a8cc8f620d0f4d2bd073113d796
~36d· 55 markets · 180 trades2026-08-02 05:12:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
26% (14/53)0/20
0.02x (win $9 / loss $546)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.3430/15
Sortino -4.2350/10
$-0.0266 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4956 (53 markets)0/10
10/23 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($543 / $0)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,809
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$20,211
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
87B / 93S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
26%
14W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$-3,809
Win Rate
26%
14W / 39L
Profit Factor
0.02x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8 (0.0021525586572234095% of PnL)
Top Winners
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in the first hour?$6
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?$1
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?$0
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in January?$0
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$0
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$0
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 20?$0
Will global temperature increase by between 1.30-1.34ºC in January 2025?$0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$0
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?$0
Top Losers
Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?$-505
Will Solana dip to $140 by February 28 2025?$-15
Will Wisconsin be the closest state? $-5
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?$-5
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-2
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?$-2
Will Ansem be the biggest winner of The House Poker Night? $-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.222
Sortino
-0.161
HHI
710
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.068
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
25.4%
Top-5 markets
38.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 3.77 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 8:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.7
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)36.8%
Mid (20-55c)11.5%
High (>55c)51.7%
Sessions
#121/12/2026, 8:36:31 PM1 trades$7,7840 min
11/13/2024, 10:14:43 AM6 trades$4,1934 min
11/13/2024, 11:16:55 AM4 trades$4,1885 min
7/15/2026, 8:21:13 AM30 trades$4,0090 min
7/9/2026, 3:38:43 AM3 trades$3,3010 min
7/10/2026, 1:44:22 PM4 trades$2,5630 min
7/8/2026, 10:04:11 AM6 trades$2,5600 min
11/13/2024, 11:40:41 AM2 trades$2,0431 min
11/25/2025, 10:27:21 AM4 trades$1,0841 min
7/10/2026, 6:28:34 AM15 trades$1,0680 min
11/25/2025, 9:52:23 AM2 trades$1,0471 min
11/13/2024, 10:52:07 AM1 trades$1,0200 min
11/13/2024, 11:01:21 AM1 trades$1,0190 min
7/12/2026, 1:55:43 PM11 trades$7190 min
7/11/2026, 12:07:02 PM7 trades$5521 min
10/22/2025, 9:24:27 PM1 trades$4980 min
7/12/2026, 12:06:56 AM8 trades$3880 min
7/4/2026, 1:47:20 PM3 trades$1080 min
11/25/2025, 10:09:45 AM1 trades$300 min
11/10/2024, 1:32:56 PM2 trades$200 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-21
11-04
11-12
02-04
02-08
02-12
10-18
12-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L36.8 / M11.5 / H51.7