@Oldbury

#285,02626

0xc258dea70b1fb0d59fa22cd3fcf7a24a15d43498

~6d· 11 markets · 45 tradesVol: $13,6912026-08-02 05:18:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (4/6)18.3/20
0.19x (win $297 / loss $1,541)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.2165 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1884 (6 markets)3.1/10
2/4 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 1487% of peak ($1,334 / $90)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+65

Categories

2
🏛️ POLITICS#95,454$45Vol: $13,434
SPORTS#227,109$21Vol: $257

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$65
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,691
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
11
total markets
Trades
29B / 16S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~6d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
4W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$65
Win Rate
67%
4W / 2L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$74
Avg Loss
$-771

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $256 (3.928812519177661% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Egypt sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?$139
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30?$69
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$49
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$41

Top Losers

Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?$-1,310
Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?$-231

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.525
Sortino
-0.468
HHI
840
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.347
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.3%
Top-5 markets
60%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
7/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
41.5m
between trades
Night Trading
64%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
18
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 615s — normal for humanCV 0.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)64% night trades — never sleeps7/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)27.6%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)72.4%

Sessions

#12
6/30/2026, 6:30:40 AM3 trades$1,0480 min
6/30/2026, 5:14:19 AM7 trades$1,0273 min
6/28/2026, 5:05:44 AM6 trades$9973 min
6/25/2026, 8:23:49 AM3 trades$9572 min
6/28/2026, 6:38:11 AM4 trades$9390 min
6/19/2026, 2:32:19 AM2 trades$4960 min
6/25/2026, 6:25:35 AM2 trades$4900 min
6/19/2026, 3:45:14 AM2 trades$4800 min
7/24/2026, 5:11:42 AM2 trades$4800 min
6/25/2026, 9:48:04 AM1 trades$4640 min
6/19/2026, 3:34:59 AM1 trades$4460 min
6/19/2026, 6:25:19 AM2 trades$4370 min
7/24/2026, 6:00:40 AM1 trades$4370 min
6/12/2026, 2:32:13 AM2 trades$2700 min
6/12/2026, 3:22:33 AM2 trades$2570 min
6/12/2026, 3:05:54 AM1 trades$2540 min
6/30/2026, 4:04:20 AM2 trades$610 min
6/28/2026, 2:05:13 AM2 trades$480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-19
06-25
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L27.6 / M0 / H72.4