@esparzaerik
#2,278,05760xc293566305ea8fbae437acf5e3fa6db0168d37c0
~23d· 32 markets · 63 tradesVol: $31,1262026-08-02 04:11:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
41% (12/29)5.7/20
0.35x (win $13 / loss $36)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.5080/15
Sortino -8.7000/10
$-0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4868 (29 markets)0/10
6/19 profitable days (32%)0.4/10
Max DD 1721% of peak ($26 / $2)0/10
Categories
4🎭 CULTURE#714,846$-17Vol: $12,992
🏛️ POLITICS#1,235,388$-8Vol: $10,882
⚽ SPORTS#1,278,202$-7Vol: $7,135
₿ CRYPTO#1,035,356$-5Vol: $115
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-39
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,126
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
39B / 24S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
41%
12W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$-39
Win Rate
41%
12W / 17L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-2
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8 (0.20005122950819673% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2025-10-25?$4
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$2
Will Parma Calcio 1913 vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?$2
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Apr 11?$1
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-25?$1
Will Gabon win on 2025-12-24?$1
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?$0
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$0
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?$0
Top Losers
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-8
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5$-5
Will another party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2025 Philippine general election?$-3
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$-3
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3)$-2
Will Norway win Eurovision 2025?$-2
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-01-16?$-2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$-2
Will Brighton finish in the top 4 of EPL?$-1
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-1
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.433
Sortino
-0.610
HHI
59
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
39.6%
Half-Kelly
19.8%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
10.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
33.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2029s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours15/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal25% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
1.34
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.8%
Mid (20-55c)17.9%
High (>55c)69.2%
Sessions
#127/19/2026, 4:27:39 PM2 trades$3,0730 min
7/19/2026, 5:22:03 PM2 trades$3,0730 min
7/19/2026, 6:10:06 PM2 trades$3,0690 min
7/19/2026, 6:43:55 PM2 trades$3,0690 min
7/1/2026, 8:11:40 AM2 trades$2,5650 min
7/1/2026, 9:26:13 AM2 trades$2,5650 min
6/28/2026, 4:53:20 AM2 trades$2,5420 min
6/28/2026, 6:02:22 AM8 trades$2,5400 min
1/26/2026, 6:05:55 PM1 trades$1,3760 min
1/26/2026, 6:55:09 PM1 trades$1,3750 min
1/26/2026, 6:40:45 PM1 trades$1,3750 min
1/26/2026, 8:04:53 PM1 trades$1,3740 min
4/1/2026, 11:43:15 AM4 trades$111 min
5/20/2026, 2:41:28 AM3 trades$60 min
2/22/2026, 10:05:16 AM2 trades$61 min
12/24/2025, 12:03:23 AM2 trades$61 min
6/4/2026, 1:36:34 AM2 trades$50 min
10/24/2025, 4:15:33 PM2 trades$52 min
12/1/2025, 11:10:18 PM2 trades$42 min
1/14/2026, 5:50:04 PM2 trades$44 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
05-02
10-24
01-14
02-22
05-13
06-04
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 359 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.8 / M17.9 / H69.2