@DessertFalcon

#28,77646

0xc381f8931a266c8cf678532b20b17909c5e7a661

~68d· 38 markets · 1586 tradesVol: $4,738,5672026-08-02 05:22:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

46
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (21/31)18.9/20
1.07x (win $20,939 / loss $19,571)3.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4288/15
Sortino 0.6216.2/10
$+0.0043 per $1 invested0.2/10
HHI 3812 (31 markets)0/10
17/25 profitable days (68%)9.5/10
Max DD 373% of peak ($10,818 / $2,898)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+4,269
DCA Master
Avg 49.0 entries/market
Whale
$315,834 invested
Consistent
17/25 profitable days
High Roller
$2,224/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#24,908$586Vol: $4,431,839
📈 ECONOMICS#607$10,488Vol: $271,516
💰 FINANCE#656,432$-4,449Vol: $17,774
📢 MENTIONS#131,959$-11Vol: $10,028

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,269
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,738,567
Total Redeem
$88
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
699B / 887S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Week
$41
Vol: $0
Month
$12
Vol: $519
All Time
$4,269
Vol: $4,738,567

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
21W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$4,269
Win Rate
68%
21W / 10L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$997
Avg Loss
$-1,957

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,008 (3.98408530314991% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$7,967
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$6,815
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2,226
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,310
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$1,005
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?$885
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$383
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$132
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?$49

Top Losers

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-4,390
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-4,363
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$-3,454
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$-3,051
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-2,885
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-1,105
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?$-245
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$-36
Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on June 30?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.022
Sortino
0.022
HHI
1237
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.004
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
20%
Top-5 markets
71.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 90s — normal for humanCV 3.63 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal41% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
49
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.3%
Mid (20-55c)11.3%
High (>55c)67.4%

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 8:11:22 AM4 trades$1,000,0000 min
4/24/2026, 3:48:26 AM5 trades$972,9422 min
4/24/2026, 3:26:30 AM14 trades$626,0995 min
4/26/2026, 7:52:06 AM2 trades$499,0000 min
4/26/2026, 7:44:36 AM17 trades$227,6980 min
4/24/2026, 3:57:34 AM58 trades$86,1392 min
4/24/2026, 4:56:36 AM2 trades$42,0000 min
5/31/2026, 10:07:18 AM1 trades$32,7190 min
5/24/2026, 5:12:09 AM23 trades$30,5632 min
4/24/2026, 3:17:42 AM3 trades$30,0971 min
4/23/2026, 4:14:04 AM27 trades$29,1036 min
6/28/2026, 3:09:43 PM37 trades$25,37713 min
4/23/2026, 8:31:04 AM36 trades$24,63013 min
7/9/2026, 2:09:46 AM13 trades$16,2604 min
4/23/2026, 2:46:22 AM46 trades$15,93822 min
6/29/2026, 1:18:28 PM34 trades$15,8353 min
7/2/2026, 3:19:46 AM2 trades$15,4140 min
6/25/2026, 11:45:16 AM51 trades$14,1214 min
4/22/2026, 1:48:34 PM13 trades$12,5280 min
4/23/2026, 7:13:54 AM10 trades$12,3703 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
04-16
05-06
05-30
06-19
07-02
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.3 / M11.3 / H67.4