@federera
#258,467680xc58cdc3a48813c3190a181c212c1b33ada054fc0
~38d· 121 markets · 378 tradesVol: $21,8622026-08-02 06:34:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
43% (47/110)6.4/20
1.46x (win $2,390 / loss $1,640)8.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.40815/15
Sortino 6.17010/10
$+0.1232 per $1 invested6.2/10
HHI 417 (110 markets)10/10
19/35 profitable days (54%)6.1/10
Max DD 41% of peak ($526 / $1,276)5.8/10
Badges
3Profitable
PnL $+85
Contrarian
53% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
4⚽ SPORTS#102,651$142Vol: $21,211
₿ CRYPTO#1,411,318$-61Vol: $339
🌤️ WEATHER#240,018$-8Vol: $160
🏛️ POLITICS#206,180$6Vol: $140
Overview
#1Net PnL
$85
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,862
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
121
total markets
Trades
171B / 207S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d
Periods
#2Week
$-44
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$85
Vol: $21,862
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
43%
47W / 63L events
Realized PnL
$85
Win Rate
43%
47W / 63L
Profit Factor
1.46x
Avg Win
$51
Avg Loss
$-33
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $697 (8.203485633537447% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$275
Halle Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Alexander Bublik$248
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$173
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann$156
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?$116
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5$105
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score$104
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5$102
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$94
Nottingham Open: Tatjana Maria vs Janice Tjen$89
Top Losers
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-200
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)$-120
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$-100
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score$-100
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?$-100
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?$-75
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-67
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?$-60
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?$-60
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$-60
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.176
Sortino
0.240
HHI
404
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.127
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.1%
Top-5 markets
37.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
5.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.8h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 3908s — normal for humanCV 1.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.8 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
2.97
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.3%
Mid (20-55c)40.9%
High (>55c)46.8%
Sessions
#126/16/2026, 10:06:37 AM17 trades$99510 min
6/11/2026, 6:35:48 PM2 trades$6000 min
6/10/2026, 11:28:42 AM2 trades$5430 min
6/15/2026, 10:54:16 AM7 trades$4440 min
6/15/2026, 8:45:45 AM5 trades$4120 min
6/22/2026, 6:02:49 PM9 trades$39413 min
6/9/2026, 2:39:21 PM4 trades$3621 min
6/21/2026, 8:08:50 AM7 trades$3008 min
6/20/2026, 6:56:28 PM6 trades$2994 min
6/24/2026, 7:22:05 PM10 trades$2748 min
6/10/2026, 10:39:58 AM2 trades$2530 min
6/16/2026, 9:48:18 AM2 trades$2030 min
6/26/2026, 6:58:26 AM2 trades$2000 min
7/6/2026, 9:33:40 AM2 trades$2000 min
6/9/2026, 1:59:25 PM8 trades$1874 min
6/16/2026, 12:34:12 PM4 trades$1770 min
6/13/2026, 10:00:37 PM2 trades$1670 min
6/5/2026, 1:48:06 PM2 trades$1610 min
6/19/2026, 6:37:20 AM2 trades$1540 min
6/25/2026, 7:10:20 AM6 trades$1325 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
06-06
06-13
06-18
06-23
06-30
07-09
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.3 / M40.9 / H46.8