whathaveidone

@whathaveidone

#3,060,16437

0xc5edd3837e58306e7937cfa2c034e34d41839374

~214d· 1358 markets · 6875 tradesVol: $2,131,979 @whathaveldone2026-08-02 05:27:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (799/1234)17.4/20
0.90x (win $16,874 / loss $18,698)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.3320/15
Sortino -0.4230/10
$-0.0019 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 117 (1234 markets)10/10
101/158 profitable days (64%)8.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($11,235 / $0)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Whale
$974,745 invested
Consistent
101/158 profitable days
High Roller
$3,899/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#815,581$-6,870Vol: $1,199,110
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,615$-2,346Vol: $475,324
CRYPTO#1,660,117$-3,739Vol: $273,365
💰 FINANCE#8,532$364Vol: $79,089
🌤️ WEATHER#288,548$-155Vol: $28,556
📈 ECONOMICS#665,481$-163Vol: $27,493
📢 MENTIONS#150,580$-32Vol: $17,712
SPORTS#1,783,823$-409Vol: $13,424
💻 TECH#223,068$-8Vol: $1,793

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-14,624
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,131,979
Total Redeem
$6,591
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1358
total markets
Trades
3680B / 3195S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~214d

Periods

#2
Today
$22
Vol: $0
Week
$197
Vol: $0
Month
$136
Vol: $0
All Time
$-14,624
Vol: $2,131,979

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
799W / 435L events
Realized PnL
$-14,624
Win Rate
65%
799W / 435L
Profit Factor
0.9x
Avg Win
$21
Avg Loss
$-50

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,494 (0.5124504593705297% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$3,210
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$2,438
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$1,847
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$1,263
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$640
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?$435
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$409
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$307
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$263
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$225

Top Losers

Nothing Ever Happens: January$-5,000
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-2,302
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$-1,714
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$-1,250
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$-1,193
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$-997
Will FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?$-572
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$-412
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$-383
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 17?$-308

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.017
Sortino
-0.014
HHI
108
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
15.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.5
Active
Markets / Day
5.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
51.9m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 68s — normal for humanCV 3.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency5.4 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.91
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)72%

Sessions

#12
1/6/2026, 3:19:39 PM7 trades$15,04317 min
1/1/2026, 1:52:13 PM13 trades$13,10515 min
12/21/2025, 1:45:11 AM2 trades$13,0053 min
12/19/2025, 4:36:33 PM15 trades$12,0917 min
12/19/2025, 10:53:43 PM2 trades$12,0741 min
12/10/2025, 6:40:54 PM2 trades$11,4400 min
1/3/2026, 1:03:23 AM25 trades$11,35614 min
1/4/2026, 12:17:21 AM3 trades$11,0014 min
12/11/2025, 8:59:11 AM3 trades$11,0002 min
1/8/2026, 11:24:11 AM3 trades$11,0001 min
1/5/2026, 5:56:21 PM7 trades$10,8904 min
1/20/2026, 2:58:40 PM22 trades$9,7336 min
12/14/2025, 11:54:11 PM5 trades$9,0006 min
12/11/2025, 8:06:21 AM21 trades$8,6879 min
12/10/2025, 11:21:18 PM1 trades$8,6780 min
1/18/2026, 3:48:24 PM7 trades$8,5548 min
4/3/2026, 11:04:23 PM17 trades$8,4883 min
12/17/2025, 8:19:57 PM2 trades$8,3802 min
1/31/2026, 5:40:16 PM2 trades$8,3291 min
1/8/2026, 2:49:50 PM3 trades$8,2045 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-18
12-19
01-18
02-20
03-25
04-30
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.91/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L20.7 / M7.3 / H72