@filthybetz

#12378

0xc6a63ad5a788a576d4acc9911c50fef9fde49458

~18d· 27 markets · 5266 tradesVol: $13,048,0282026-08-02 08:03:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (14/25)13/20
1.74x (win $1,941,076 / loss $1,114,999)11.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.83215/15
Sortino 6.82610/10
$+0.3229 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 842 (25 markets)8.3/10
9/14 profitable days (64%)8.6/10
Max DD 65% of peak ($535,485 / $826,105)1/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+1,424,690
DCA Master
Avg 210.0 entries/market
Whale
$2,558,571 invested
Consistent
9/14 profitable days
High Roller
$50,168/day
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

1
SPORTS#82$1,424,690Vol: $13,048,028

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,424,690
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,048,028
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
4535B / 731S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$1,424,690
Vol: $13,048,028

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
14W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$1,424,690
Win Rate
56%
14W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.74x
Avg Win
$138,648
Avg Loss
$-101,364

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $816,466 (0.5730833659919096% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)$381,000
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$236,470
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?$198,996
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)$172,143
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$166,500
Spread: Germany (-3.5)$158,960
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 2.5$149,260
Colombia vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5$112,000
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$100,000
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score$75,000

Top Losers

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$-543,668
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)$-202,559
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$-75,331
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-69,341
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5$-62,929
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5$-58,143
Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5$-39,881
France vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$-27,870
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$-24,750
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?$-10,500

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.244
Sortino
0.271
HHI
825
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.323
Kelly %
8.4%
Half-Kelly
4.2%
Top-1 market
17.7%
Top-5 markets
54.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
103.3
Very active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
101.9

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
68% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 7.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity103 trades/day — automation0.5 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
209.96
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.4%
Mid (20-55c)41.2%
High (>55c)58.5%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 10:11:43 PM115 trades$560,17316 min
6/24/2026, 8:59:41 PM4 trades$300,0002 min
6/14/2026, 3:57:39 PM43 trades$217,88712 min
6/29/2026, 4:00:34 PM45 trades$203,5002 min
7/11/2026, 8:07:35 AM316 trades$202,47139 min
6/12/2026, 10:00:03 AM491 trades$197,69135 min
6/26/2026, 11:05:04 PM45 trades$185,26014 min
7/11/2026, 9:41:55 AM1269 trades$128,998155 min
6/10/2026, 2:32:28 PM54 trades$120,2400 min
6/27/2026, 1:39:32 AM40 trades$104,4310 min
6/10/2026, 1:26:24 PM59 trades$97,7050 min
6/25/2026, 6:55:43 PM34 trades$96,9920 min
6/25/2026, 10:01:46 PM3 trades$92,6261 min
6/13/2026, 11:43:36 PM234 trades$91,4617 min
6/27/2026, 11:07:47 PM119 trades$88,0003 min
6/10/2026, 8:56:12 AM158 trades$85,4240 min
6/24/2026, 8:40:43 PM51 trades$75,0002 min
6/13/2026, 11:55:48 PM181 trades$64,3912 min
7/11/2026, 10:34:59 PM97 trades$59,2306 min
6/29/2026, 11:40:11 PM57 trades$56,6514 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
06-13
06-19
06-25
06-27
06-30
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 209.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0.4 / M41.2 / H58.5