@keybo

12

0xc71b43cf1a6c9f79743bdf5e15a763d93d7ce265

~312d· 8105 markets · 71848 trades2026-08-02 05:12:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (2105/6048)2.4/20
0.70x (win $73,224 / loss $103,948)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.3800/15
Sortino -2.9150/10
$-0.0731 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 17 (6048 markets)10/10
85/303 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 62360% of peak ($30,868 / $50)0/10

Badges

5
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
Whale
$420,553 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,761$-11,578Vol: $2,343,989
🎭 CULTURE#813,938$-2,764Vol: $263,886
📈 ECONOMICS#679,788$-1,905Vol: $197,783
💻 TECH#256,407$-953Vol: $101,952
⚽ SPORTS#1,682,031$-103Vol: $15,366
📢 MENTIONS#171,724$-356Vol: $8,568
₿ CRYPTO#1,440,817$-81Vol: $6,297

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-26,444
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$420,553
Total Redeem
$12
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8105
total markets
Trades
50409B / 21439S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~312d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-5
Vol: $0
Month
$-4
Vol: $10
All Time
$-26,444
Vol: $0

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
2105W / 3943L events
Realized PnL
$-26,444
Win Rate
35%
2105W / 3943L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$35
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,431 (0.4322636491283534% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$4,982
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$4,157
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$2,292
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$1,775
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$1,460
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$1,340
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$1,141
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$1,066
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$776
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?$776

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-2,723
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,059
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$-1,563
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?$-1,389
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-1,187
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-1,113
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$-1,034
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-938
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$-900
Kash Patel out by June 30?$-881

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.124
Sortino
-0.138
HHI
13
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
4.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
146.9
Very active
Markets / Day
16.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.9m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
58 min
Avg Trades / Session
130.1

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 153s — normal for humanCV 2.38 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock147 trades/day — automation17 markets/day — mass coverage78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.44
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.9%
Mid (20-55c)14%
High (>55c)31.1%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 2:01:52 AM1328 trades$10,760453 min
7/15/2026, 2:14:58 PM377 trades$6,9088 min
7/15/2026, 2:35:59 PM1034 trades$6,59325 min
4/7/2026, 10:26:59 PM370 trades$4,191153 min
4/24/2026, 9:18:04 PM5 trades$3,3992 min
6/10/2026, 4:39:33 AM54 trades$3,2998 min
5/1/2026, 1:21:00 PM192 trades$2,26198 min
6/5/2026, 9:40:31 AM235 trades$2,067160 min
6/5/2026, 1:39:54 PM185 trades$1,877125 min
6/4/2026, 11:51:40 PM188 trades$1,790123 min
4/10/2026, 6:00:33 AM246 trades$1,57983 min
6/5/2026, 4:12:15 PM175 trades$1,568124 min
5/4/2026, 6:43:02 PM115 trades$1,38627 min
4/28/2026, 1:14:08 PM146 trades$1,33389 min
4/14/2026, 6:00:18 PM16 trades$1,23819 min
6/18/2026, 2:19:38 PM120 trades$1,17654 min
6/11/2026, 5:09:52 PM72 trades$1,15378 min
7/12/2026, 12:11:16 AM37 trades$1,15035 min
4/12/2026, 1:32:47 AM41 trades$1,10549 min
7/13/2026, 4:36:20 PM18 trades$1,07316 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-02
11-07
12-28
02-16
04-07
05-27
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 441 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.9 / M14 / H31.1