@varchar255

#115,92360

0xc798197ae9aff808af4406320f31d822ae788aab

~82d· 315 markets · 7275 tradesVol: $210,1132026-08-02 08:01:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (119/296)5.1/20
1.44x (win $15,603 / loss $10,837)8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.62715/15
Sortino 6.70810/10
$+0.0859 per $1 invested4.3/10
HHI 167 (296 markets)10/10
25/66 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($2,475 / $6,227)6.1/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+499
Whale
$55,501 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#48,746$170Vol: $161,501
SPORTS#117,715$106Vol: $26,318
📈 ECONOMICS#6,022$336Vol: $7,662
💰 FINANCE#645,590$-329Vol: $4,331
📢 MENTIONS#7,345$73Vol: $4,253
🎭 CULTURE#753,473$-41Vol: $2,490
CRYPTO#124,809$53Vol: $1,801
🌤️ WEATHER#5,262$171Vol: $795
💻 TECH#12,186$23Vol: $432

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$499
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$210,113
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
315
total markets
Trades
4011B / 3264S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $9
Week
$23
Vol: $9
Month
$-14
Vol: $9
All Time
$499
Vol: $210,113

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
119W / 177L events
Realized PnL
$499
Win Rate
40%
119W / 177L
Profit Factor
1.44x
Avg Win
$131
Avg Loss
$-70

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,446 (6.899469416357994% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$1,261
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$1,101
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$1,084
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$1,014
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$939
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$937
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$783
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$720
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$699
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?$489

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,215
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-560
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-530
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-477
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?$-360
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?$-344
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-342
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-341
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?$-337
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-309

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.137
Sortino
0.352
HHI
203
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.089
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
23.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
80.8
Very active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
37.2m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.61
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
32.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 118s — normal for humanCV 2.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock81 trades/day — mass trading3.5 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.85
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14%
Mid (20-55c)34.3%
High (>55c)51.7%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 7:57:39 PM105 trades$2,97532 min
5/9/2026, 7:26:12 PM7 trades$2,8504 min
6/7/2026, 8:43:43 PM48 trades$2,25018 min
5/22/2026, 9:24:25 PM136 trades$2,14124 min
7/21/2026, 9:16:10 PM11 trades$2,0454 min
5/9/2026, 7:06:25 PM22 trades$1,66910 min
5/9/2026, 7:37:36 PM35 trades$1,50912 min
6/19/2026, 8:58:43 PM79 trades$1,34817 min
6/15/2026, 3:31:36 AM3 trades$1,2553 min
5/21/2026, 5:13:10 PM45 trades$1,24223 min
6/7/2026, 7:00:04 PM54 trades$1,23519 min
7/20/2026, 11:48:25 PM25 trades$1,2110 min
6/26/2026, 8:35:10 PM20 trades$1,18212 min
6/25/2026, 9:47:50 PM4 trades$1,1550 min
6/7/2026, 6:48:48 PM18 trades$8534 min
5/30/2026, 2:22:35 PM18 trades$8231 min
5/15/2026, 11:46:12 PM46 trades$73816 min
5/8/2026, 6:47:41 PM87 trades$73313 min
6/8/2026, 1:21:57 AM9 trades$6803 min
5/11/2026, 1:32:29 AM7 trades$6562 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-05
05-16
05-30
06-11
06-22
07-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.85/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L14 / M34.3 / H51.7