@refgcvbct

#1,987,00513

0xc828f7755b7e274b71a9d137d0397a76a0a916e1

~10d· 18 markets · 95 tradesVol: $21,6262026-08-02 08:01:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (5/13)4.2/20
0.50x (win $25 / loss $49)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.3860/15
Sortino -7.2490/10
$-0.0033 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1141 (13 markets)6.8/10
3/8 profitable days (38%)1.9/10
Max DD 484% of peak ($31 / $6)0/10

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,208,390$-15Vol: $14,075
🏛️ POLITICS#254,851$3Vol: $6,378
📈 ECONOMICS#431,130$-1Vol: $1,025
SPORTS#1,155,696$-4Vol: $148

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,626
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
49B / 46S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-16
Vol: $21,626

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
5W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-16
Win Rate
38%
5W / 8L
Profit Factor
0.5x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21 (1.3358681875792144% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$9
Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?$6
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$6
Will JD Vance enter Iran by June 30?$2
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?$1

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?$-19
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in June?$-8
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?$-6
Will Solana reach $140 in June?$-6
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?$-4
ITF Brussels: Dylan Dietrich vs Max Hans Rehberg$-3
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$-3
Cleveland Guardians vs. Houston Astros$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.362
Sortino
-0.388
HHI
742
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.6%
Top-5 markets
58.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 267s — normal for humanCV 1.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours10/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.08
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.5%
Mid (20-55c)2%
High (>55c)71.4%

Sessions

#12
6/27/2026, 3:08:23 PM5 trades$1,5075 min
6/25/2026, 12:10:26 PM5 trades$1,5052 min
6/30/2026, 12:57:56 AM13 trades$1,5054 min
6/28/2026, 12:47:28 PM6 trades$1,4282 min
6/22/2026, 5:16:02 PM9 trades$1,3039 min
6/21/2026, 3:48:59 PM4 trades$1,0074 min
6/25/2026, 12:46:43 PM3 trades$1,0030 min
6/28/2026, 1:13:04 PM4 trades$9983 min
6/21/2026, 3:08:01 PM10 trades$9044 min
6/26/2026, 4:32:13 PM3 trades$7483 min
6/22/2026, 4:22:49 PM2 trades$5070 min
6/22/2026, 4:36:20 PM2 trades$5070 min
6/26/2026, 4:43:05 PM2 trades$5060 min
6/20/2026, 2:57:23 AM4 trades$5065 min
6/28/2026, 1:01:16 PM2 trades$5050 min
6/27/2026, 1:40:53 PM6 trades$4910 min
6/26/2026, 3:41:16 PM2 trades$4872 min
6/25/2026, 12:37:58 PM2 trades$4871 min
6/26/2026, 4:19:17 PM1 trades$2450 min
7/31/2026, 1:17:35 AM2 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
06-21
06-22
06-25
06-26
06-27
06-28
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
48.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.5 / M2 / H71.4