@nibbi

#2,879,74411

0xc8446615cd963078ccf8c7824c73b6dc20e4c3fa

~17d· 73 markets · 113 tradesVol: $8,5922026-08-02 08:00:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (29/73)4.9/20
0.43x (win $398 / loss $925)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.9980/15
Sortino -7.4590/10
$-0.3423 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1586 (73 markets)4.6/10
6/17 profitable days (35%)1.3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($535 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Contrarian
87% entries < $0.55

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,572,331$-367Vol: $7,066
SPORTS#1,746,454$-221Vol: $1,118

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-659
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,592
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
73
total markets
Trades
87B / 26S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~17d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
29W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-659
Win Rate
40%
29W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $127 (0.19257955889937203% of PnL)

Top Winners

Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?$47
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10AM ET$40
Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 10AM ET$40
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays$38
XRP Up or Down - July 1, 1PM ET$30
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 28?$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$17
Mets vs. Pirates$13
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox$12
Giants vs. White Sox$12

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - August 5, 8PM ET$-165
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 9PM ET$-136
Will T1 win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?$-74
First Blood in Game 2?$-40
XRP Up or Down - July 1, 11AM ET$-40
Solana Up or Down - August 3, 10AM ET$-40
San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins$-40
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$-40
Brewers vs. Marlins$-33
Solana Up or Down - July 1, 9AM ET$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.406
Sortino
-0.362
HHI
1126
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.342
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.9%
Top-5 markets
49.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 141s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.55
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.3%
Mid (20-55c)77%
High (>55c)12.6%

Sessions

#12
8/5/2025, 6:34:06 PM6 trades$3110 min
8/5/2025, 6:26:42 PM1 trades$3010 min
8/5/2025, 6:50:06 PM9 trades$1753 min
8/3/2025, 12:07:14 PM5 trades$1401 min
8/5/2025, 7:11:30 PM1 trades$1360 min
6/28/2025, 6:43:47 AM7 trades$859 min
7/23/2026, 8:36:43 AM4 trades$833 min
7/11/2025, 10:51:24 PM1 trades$740 min
7/2/2025, 9:07:01 PM7 trades$632 min
7/4/2025, 8:08:43 PM3 trades$611 min
6/28/2025, 11:39:27 AM5 trades$5310 min
7/22/2026, 11:18:58 AM2 trades$440 min
7/1/2025, 4:53:17 PM2 trades$422 min
7/1/2025, 2:23:55 PM1 trades$400 min
7/3/2025, 8:59:15 PM4 trades$401 min
7/4/2025, 3:46:57 PM4 trades$401 min
7/23/2026, 9:53:27 AM2 trades$400 min
7/4/2025, 9:01:21 PM2 trades$391 min
7/24/2026, 10:32:24 AM5 trades$360 min
7/25/2026, 6:44:40 AM5 trades$252 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-27
06-30
07-02
07-04
07-10
08-03
08-05
07-23
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.55/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L10.3 / M77 / H12.6