Avesol

@Avesol

#2,904,6829

0xc8571a002b522534c709a57acf095c05397b7d6a

~73d· 256 markets · 1891 tradesVol: $64,988 @Avesoller2026-08-02 06:27:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (69/215)1/20
0.51x (win $1,398 / loss $2,723)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6920/15
Sortino -3.9330/10
$-0.2111 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1360 (215 markets)5.7/10
20/50 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 301% of peak ($1,984 / $659)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,604,887$-705Vol: $40,390
SPORTS#1,714,257$-147Vol: $20,788
📈 ECONOMICS#106,708$1Vol: $1,764
CRYPTO#179,051$21Vol: $1,202
🎭 CULTURE#664,808$-7Vol: $354
🌤️ WEATHER#215,148$-3Vol: $219
💰 FINANCE#512,829$-2Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-845
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$64,988
Total Redeem
$50
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
256
total markets
Trades
825B / 1066S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $0
Week
$-33
Vol: $0
Month
$-9
Vol: $147
All Time
$-845
Vol: $64,988

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
69W / 146L events
Realized PnL
$-845
Win Rate
32%
69W / 146L
Profit Factor
0.51x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $438 (0.517973179305692% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$170
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$135
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$132
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$91
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?$86
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$59
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$48
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$47
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$39
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-602
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?$-320
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-250
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-196
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-121
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-100
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-93
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$-92
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$-64
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.191
Sortino
-0.172
HHI
164
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.310
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
22.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.9

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 1.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity19 trades/day — very active2.5 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.07
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.1%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)35.2%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 5:41:29 PM10 trades$8,9872 min
6/21/2026, 2:45:23 PM6 trades$1,1940 min
7/15/2026, 10:05:40 AM38 trades$8332 min
6/15/2026, 6:18:16 AM10 trades$7941 min
6/22/2026, 10:01:19 AM32 trades$69619 min
6/8/2026, 4:57:19 PM33 trades$6163 min
6/13/2026, 4:37:57 PM15 trades$6035 min
6/8/2026, 7:18:37 PM21 trades$5108 min
6/22/2026, 4:21:16 PM12 trades$4596 min
6/15/2026, 7:13:06 AM15 trades$4454 min
6/15/2026, 3:37:10 PM11 trades$35810 min
5/9/2026, 7:56:26 AM30 trades$3484 min
7/16/2026, 9:46:16 PM19 trades$3263 min
6/15/2026, 4:56:25 AM2 trades$3190 min
7/19/2026, 9:45:15 PM7 trades$3132 min
7/1/2026, 4:52:26 PM8 trades$2882 min
6/15/2026, 3:16:55 PM9 trades$2698 min
5/28/2026, 2:00:09 PM27 trades$24410 min
6/9/2026, 5:37:09 PM3 trades$2370 min
6/11/2026, 7:36:37 PM13 trades$2326 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-04
05-14
05-26
06-12
06-21
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.07/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L34.1 / M30.8 / H35.2