@regardedtrader

#3,055,07566

0xc8815bb26f39030ba277247c6437680eef4fb071

~30d· 33 markets · 1059 tradesVol: $443,8912026-08-02 05:19:35
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (17/31)12.4/20
1.42x (win $36,271 / loss $25,493)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.21615/15
Sortino 5.85110/10
$+0.0652 per $1 invested3.3/10
HHI 822 (31 markets)8.4/10
9/18 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 49% of peak ($10,443 / $21,221)4.2/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 32.0 entries/market
Whale
$165,334 invested
High Roller
$3,307/day
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,629$-9,084Vol: $387,636
📈 ECONOMICS#663,420$-136Vol: $26,289
CRYPTO#33,927$810Vol: $18,525
🎭 CULTURE#795,875$-222Vol: $9,325
💰 FINANCE#653,995$-1,380Vol: $2,116

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-10,013
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$443,891
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
33
total markets
Trades
314B / 745S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~30d

Periods

#2
Week
$-50
Vol: $0
All Time
$-10,013
Vol: $443,891

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
17W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-10,013
Win Rate
55%
17W / 14L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$2,134
Avg Loss
$-1,821

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,739 (1.8713931756831659% of PnL)

Top Winners

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$8,906
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$4,931
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4,902
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$3,594
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$2,351
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1,939
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,801
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,438
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$1,343
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$1,284

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-5,054
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-3,865
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-3,375
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-2,989
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-2,257
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?$-1,877
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$-1,569
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-1,389
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$-1,326
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-565

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.164
Sortino
0.380
HHI
992
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.067
Kelly %
0.6%
Half-Kelly
0.3%
Top-1 market
17.8%
Top-5 markets
66%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.2
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.11
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.1

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 268s — normal for humanCV 2.11 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern23/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency0.7 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
31.97
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.2%
Mid (20-55c)15.9%
High (>55c)73.9%

Sessions

#12
5/19/2026, 8:41:40 AM30 trades$17,45123 min
6/25/2026, 8:28:34 AM66 trades$15,05910 min
5/23/2026, 2:59:19 PM21 trades$15,0412 min
5/25/2026, 5:36:09 AM25 trades$13,65814 min
6/18/2026, 9:39:44 PM26 trades$11,5481 min
5/21/2026, 6:52:49 PM6 trades$10,8630 min
6/7/2026, 6:54:06 PM49 trades$10,76210 min
6/20/2026, 1:06:40 AM2 trades$9,4000 min
6/7/2026, 6:21:34 PM2 trades$7,7270 min
6/19/2026, 5:55:37 AM15 trades$7,4100 min
6/1/2026, 3:10:16 PM11 trades$7,2463 min
6/27/2026, 4:57:37 PM14 trades$7,1144 min
5/29/2026, 5:59:20 PM14 trades$7,0610 min
5/28/2026, 7:59:13 PM27 trades$6,8302 min
7/1/2026, 7:01:50 AM9 trades$6,6570 min
6/16/2026, 1:07:43 PM15 trades$6,3560 min
6/16/2026, 11:41:30 AM24 trades$6,0850 min
6/17/2026, 6:24:14 PM4 trades$5,1600 min
6/17/2026, 7:06:23 PM3 trades$5,0000 min
6/19/2026, 7:57:53 AM5 trades$5,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-21
05-30
06-08
06-14
06-21
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
70.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.97/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.2 / M15.9 / H73.9