@BTCFudder

#3,059,75828

0xc8aeea557036fbb49ab54c2dfd966c661fc8f471

~114d· 916 markets · 8932 tradesVol: $1,991,9402026-08-02 07:55:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (496/904)12.4/20
0.87x (win $141,928 / loss $163,691)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9520/15
Sortino -2.2890/10
$-0.0314 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 45 (904 markets)10/10
51/101 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 905% of peak ($24,467 / $2,705)0/10

Badges

6
DCA Master
Avg 9.8 entries/market
Whale
$692,634 invested
High Roller
$3,092/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,850,617$-1,882Vol: $686,241
🏛️ POLITICS#18,554$954Vol: $561,787
CRYPTO#1,657,498$-3,157Vol: $351,303
💰 FINANCE#657,088$-9,681Vol: $141,628
🎭 CULTURE#814,323$-3,222Vol: $113,113
📢 MENTIONS#578$2,791Vol: $68,419
📈 ECONOMICS#676,610$-710Vol: $38,509
💻 TECH#233,016$-18Vol: $14,035

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-13,966
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,991,940
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
916
total markets
Trades
7285B / 1647S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-13,966
Vol: $1,991,940

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
496W / 408L events
Realized PnL
$-13,966
Win Rate
55%
496W / 408L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$286
Avg Loss
$-404

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,692 (0.6223861648523263% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Raptors$3,078
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2,893
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2,721
Nuggets vs. Lakers$2,092
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?$2,078
Hawks vs. Bucks$2,058
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$2,031
Houston Cougars vs. Kansas Jayhawks$1,731
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$1,724
Knicks vs. Raptors$1,574

Top Losers

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-13,176
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-4,235
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-3,689
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?$-3,476
Nuggets vs. Spurs$-3,410
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Jack Draper$-2,696
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 22?$-2,405
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$-2,301
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5$-2,134
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?$-1,962

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.102
Sortino
-0.101
HHI
39
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.032
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.1%
Top-5 markets
8.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
39.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
50s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.5m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
15 min
Avg Trades / Session
67.8

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 50s — normal for humanCV 2.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)32% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock40 trades/day — high frequency4.1 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)32.8%
High (>55c)59.5%

Sessions

#12
2/14/2026, 6:36:35 AM689 trades$22,49186 min
2/24/2026, 5:27:48 AM358 trades$18,54545 min
2/26/2026, 4:51:44 AM3 trades$15,8275 min
2/15/2026, 5:13:31 PM364 trades$12,29248 min
2/28/2026, 7:40:49 PM18 trades$11,1182 min
12/20/2025, 5:52:12 AM33 trades$10,72327 min
2/13/2026, 5:28:47 AM55 trades$9,50360 min
6/16/2026, 3:21:58 AM5 trades$9,2620 min
12/19/2025, 11:07:45 PM6 trades$9,01310 min
2/14/2026, 4:21:03 PM125 trades$8,34622 min
2/15/2026, 6:07:37 PM315 trades$7,83821 min
12/30/2025, 6:04:03 AM12 trades$7,69810 min
2/28/2026, 9:47:13 PM24 trades$7,19915 min
3/3/2026, 5:39:11 AM163 trades$7,10439 min
2/25/2026, 4:07:38 AM24 trades$6,97111 min
1/3/2026, 3:52:39 PM33 trades$6,96929 min
3/8/2026, 5:50:29 AM15 trades$6,76025 min
3/11/2026, 4:56:13 AM8 trades$6,7537 min
3/13/2026, 11:42:27 PM14 trades$6,71112 min
3/4/2026, 2:56:31 AM16 trades$6,58517 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-26
12-20
01-05
01-22
02-15
03-04
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 204 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.7 / M32.8 / H59.5