@AlphaTipsChannel

#3,063,98522

0xc903352a38321e4d32492a0c0b1e3436bd42b175

~113d· 244 markets · 2625 tradesVol: $4,859,5422026-08-02 04:14:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (106/244)6.7/20
0.86x (win $83,583 / loss $97,718)0.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4730/15
Sortino -1.8430/10
$-0.0540 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 137 (244 markets)10/10
41/88 profitable days (47%)4.1/10
Max DD 217% of peak ($28,245 / $12,997)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Whale
$261,916 invested
High Roller
$1,364/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,878,036$-14,778Vol: $4,110,576
CRYPTO#1,662,484$-4,439Vol: $361,815
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,905$-2,110Vol: $22,503
📢 MENTIONS#3,682$234Vol: $700

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-22,209
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,859,542
Total Redeem
$21,635
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
244
total markets
Trades
1950B / 675S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~113d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
106W / 138L events
Realized PnL
$-22,209
Win Rate
43%
106W / 138L
Profit Factor
0.86x
Avg Win
$789
Avg Loss
$-719

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,472 (0.5615893216718478% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Solana dip to $70 in February?$4,953
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?$3,956
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?$3,563
Elsa FDV above $100M one day after launch?$3,285
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$3,210
MegaETH FDV above $1.4B one day after launch?$2,379
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw?$2,220
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$2,129
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winner$1,747
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner$1,636

Top Losers

Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-5,263
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,058
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-4,335
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-3,515
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner$-2,670
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$-2,520
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?$-2,520
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-2,239
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in March?$-1,880
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?$-1,846

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.077
Sortino
-0.088
HHI
102
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
13.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.5m
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 175s — normal for humanCV 2.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active1.3 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.76
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)37.1%
Mid (20-55c)41.7%
High (>55c)21.2%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 7:32:01 AM4 trades$10,7200 min
7/7/2026, 4:16:22 PM19 trades$7,3680 min
7/12/2026, 3:32:44 AM16 trades$7,2780 min
2/2/2026, 10:44:46 AM2 trades$5,8141 min
1/22/2026, 1:52:40 PM5 trades$5,44310 min
1/27/2026, 9:28:21 AM16 trades$5,26214 min
1/27/2026, 10:12:09 AM14 trades$4,30613 min
2/26/2026, 11:38:26 AM18 trades$4,1621 min
2/22/2026, 4:10:28 PM13 trades$3,96610 min
1/29/2026, 1:07:22 PM8 trades$3,7839 min
3/2/2026, 5:38:13 AM13 trades$3,7387 min
3/3/2026, 10:35:55 AM1 trades$3,4300 min
1/22/2026, 6:41:14 PM2 trades$3,3704 min
3/18/2026, 12:22:41 PM1 trades$3,0820 min
3/3/2026, 10:22:51 AM10 trades$3,0522 min
1/27/2026, 8:09:29 AM10 trades$2,8658 min
2/27/2026, 11:08:43 AM2 trades$2,8500 min
3/24/2026, 3:52:39 PM1 trades$2,8310 min
2/2/2026, 9:48:10 AM19 trades$2,8248 min
1/27/2026, 10:57:41 AM1 trades$2,8100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-02
01-24
02-09
02-24
03-18
05-24
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 138 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.76/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L37.1 / M41.7 / H21.2