@caguabot

#2,569,98637

0xc948fa141944308cc39b596b4f1ab2140fa67f7e

~40d· 261 markets · 705 tradesVol: $7,0182026-08-02 01:30:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

37
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (177/260)19/20
0.84x (win $300 / loss $358)0.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5830/15
Sortino -1.9340/10
$-0.0339 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 164 (260 markets)10/10
24/40 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 2724% of peak ($117 / $4)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

6
SPORTS#1,645,111$-76Vol: $5,030
CRYPTO#1,085,596$-7Vol: $1,730
🏛️ POLITICS#1,158,905$-5Vol: $97
📢 MENTIONS#27,205$4Vol: $77
🎭 CULTURE#707,514$-15Vol: $22
💰 FINANCE#97,274$3Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-106
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,018
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
261
total markets
Trades
343B / 362S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~40d

Periods

#2
Week
$-12
Vol: $0
Month
$-13
Vol: $128
All Time
$-106
Vol: $7,018

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
177W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$-106
Win Rate
68%
177W / 83L
Profit Factor
0.84x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $78 (0.7359508041627247% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$32
Spurs vs. Knicks$25
Will the fight be won by submission?$21
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?$15
Spurs vs. Knicks$14
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$14
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$13
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance$9
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?$8
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?$7

Top Losers

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$-40
Knicks vs. Spurs$-40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?$-30
Knicks vs. Spurs$-22
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-20
Will the fight be won by submission?$-20
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 15?$-16
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 20?$-16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 15?$-12
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.082
Sortino
-0.087
HHI
144
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.034
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
20.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
45%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1210s — normal for humanCV 0.95 — diverse sizes (human-like)45% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active4.4 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.7
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.6%
Mid (20-55c)10.2%
High (>55c)82.2%

Sessions

#12
7/12/2026, 12:58:38 AM49 trades$14651 min
6/11/2026, 3:23:25 AM10 trades$11510 min
7/19/2026, 7:32:36 PM3 trades$1010 min
7/1/2026, 7:30:50 PM4 trades$800 min
6/24/2026, 3:56:07 AM2 trades$510 min
6/4/2026, 3:47:43 PM8 trades$493 min
7/18/2026, 12:05:07 AM14 trades$4212 min
6/15/2026, 3:50:57 AM2 trades$380 min
7/12/2026, 12:10:32 AM12 trades$3315 min
6/13/2026, 1:14:00 AM6 trades$321 min
6/20/2026, 10:20:52 PM7 trades$290 min
7/19/2026, 4:11:15 PM6 trades$262 min
6/24/2026, 3:36:04 AM6 trades$262 min
7/11/2026, 10:07:53 PM6 trades$256 min
6/9/2026, 3:26:13 AM2 trades$250 min
6/6/2026, 3:20:21 AM4 trades$240 min
6/12/2026, 6:14:45 PM8 trades$240 min
6/11/2026, 6:17:27 PM4 trades$230 min
8/1/2026, 4:06:35 AM5 trades$213 min
8/1/2026, 8:47:03 AM4 trades$210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-04
06-10
06-20
06-26
07-02
07-10
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 3 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.7/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.6 / M10.2 / H82.2