alexfunfunfun

@alexfunfunfun

#4,41054

0xca88d64f331060ea470e473b687b26337facefb2

~175d· 321 markets · 2969 tradesVol: $1,963,2452026-08-02 05:47:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (229/317)20/20
1.07x (win $156,636 / loss $146,688)3.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.3115.8/15
Sortino 0.4854.9/10
$+0.0079 per $1 invested0.4/10
HHI 147 (317 markets)10/10
85/127 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 104% of peak ($45,407 / $43,629)0/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+38,966
DCA Master
Avg 9.2 entries/market
Whale
$1,255,998 invested
Consistent
85/127 profitable days
High Roller
$1,975/day
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#1,479$32,621Vol: $546,929
CRYPTO#1,665,963$-6,089Vol: $474,081
🎭 CULTURE#813,881$-2,706Vol: $331,766
📈 ECONOMICS#520$12,613Vol: $279,818
💰 FINANCE#483$11,206Vol: $213,502
SPORTS#1,844,078$-1,550Vol: $46,429
📢 MENTIONS#176,555$-9,874Vol: $21,901
💻 TECH#1,362$1,042Vol: $14,034

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38,966
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,963,245
Total Redeem
$25,329
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
321
total markets
Trades
2057B / 912S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~175d

Periods

#2
Today
$435
Vol: $25
Week
$-354
Vol: $25
Month
$262
Vol: $5,982
All Time
$38,966
Vol: $1,963,245

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
229W / 88L events
Realized PnL
$38,966
Win Rate
72%
229W / 88L
Profit Factor
1.07x
Avg Win
$684
Avg Loss
$-1,857

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $60,300 (1.5475003907263507% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the government shutdown end November 12?$37,609
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$13,259
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$9,432
Ethereum above $3,500 on December 6?$5,427
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,367
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$4,837
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$4,689
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$4,639
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$3,051
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$2,867

Top Losers

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-21,467
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?$-15,405
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-9,881
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-9,632
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 19?$-9,300
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$-7,757
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?$-7,715
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-6,681
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-5,542
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?$-4,883

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.016
Sortino
0.017
HHI
146
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
17.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
57.7m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 2.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.24
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.7%
Mid (20-55c)7.7%
High (>55c)88.6%

Sessions

#12
11/13/2025, 1:02:12 AM3 trades$38,0171 min
11/13/2025, 3:28:54 AM2 trades$37,3050 min
11/28/2025, 9:48:37 PM3 trades$34,3632 min
11/14/2025, 3:15:30 PM93 trades$32,36222 min
11/14/2025, 3:50:36 PM62 trades$25,85916 min
11/24/2024, 4:40:31 PM1 trades$25,6900 min
11/23/2024, 1:31:29 PM43 trades$25,29432 min
5/3/2026, 4:43:30 PM14 trades$25,1061 min
10/24/2025, 10:07:27 AM1 trades$24,7470 min
12/7/2024, 12:51:17 AM1 trades$23,6190 min
11/22/2024, 8:34:01 PM27 trades$23,25414 min
9/5/2025, 2:36:48 PM1 trades$22,4430 min
3/26/2026, 9:28:17 PM15 trades$21,82010 min
11/22/2025, 3:49:47 PM5 trades$21,0725 min
7/8/2025, 9:52:59 AM7 trades$20,8085 min
11/28/2024, 4:11:09 AM9 trades$20,5854 min
12/2/2025, 11:26:48 AM1 trades$19,9690 min
6/26/2026, 1:41:17 AM4 trades$19,6450 min
11/18/2024, 4:08:26 PM17 trades$18,9763 min
11/28/2025, 2:33:55 AM1 trades$18,1490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
12-13
11-28
01-02
04-19
05-30
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 184 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.7 / M7.7 / H88.6